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After analyzing these 2016 election exit polls, one surprising factor jumped out at me. The narrative that Trump's win was due to a huge surge of White support is wrong, and not based on facts.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2...olls.html?_r=0
In fact, Trump only won an additional 1% of overall White votes as compared to Romney 4 years prior.
What changed were three major factors that I believe helped Trump win.
1. Significant shift in the TYPE Of White voters. Basically Romney had a solid hold of the establishment business Republican whites, mainly wealthy and educated whites. These shifted to the Hillary camp, because she was the establishment candidate backed by Washington and Wall Street.
Trump lost those Whites, but they were replaced by poorer, less educated Whites who lived throughout the Rust Belt, this is absolutely critical, because these were the crucial states he had to win. These people were anti-establishment and surprisingly, many voted for Obama before, but switched to Trump to give a big Fuck You to the establishment. They are not necessarily racist, but obviously greatly distrust establishment politicians. So while Clinton actually won the popular vote, many of the White voters who switched to her side were the wealthy and lived in blue states like California and New York, which essentially was useless. While Trump gained significantly on the crucial ones, Rustbelt working class whites.
2. Surprisingly, and contrary to all the predictions, Clinton actually LOST support among minorities. Blacks, Latinos, Asians all experienced significant shifts favoring Trump compared with Romney in 2012.
3. Apathy killed Clinton's campaign. People just didn't give a fuck. They didn't like her, they didn't trust her, and they sure as hell weren't going to campaign for her. If Sanders was the nominee, it would've been a different game. But basically many of the people who could've delivered the win to her, like they did for Obama, working class Whites, minorities, etc, just stayed home.
It's a trove of data, but you can compare demographic voting breakdowns going back three decades. Very informative.
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