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What is worth noting is autosomally the North African is higher in the west (both northwest and southwest) of the island and low in the east especially the northeast. So this could be the Carthaginian input.
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"Most J1 Europeans belong to the J1-Z1828 branch, which is also found in Anatolia and the Caucasus, but not in Arabic countries. "
Most of J1 in Italy and Sicily dates back to the Bronze Age and has nothing to do with Phoenicians/Carthaginians and Arabs.
Among Bosnian Serbs J*/J1 are 3,5%, in Moldova J*/J1 is 4%, in Hungary J*/J1 is 3%, in Italy J*/J1 is 3%, in Greece J*/J1 is 3% (in Crete is 5%), in Portugal J*/J1 is 3%, in Albania J*/J1 is 2%, in France J*/J1 is 1.5% (Midi-Pyrénées J*/J1 is 4%). In Sicily J*/J1 is 3.5%, in Sardinia J*/J1 is 4%.
Etruscans have nothing to do with the spread of J1, J1 is more common in non-Etruscan areas rather than in Etruscan areas (in Etruscan areas R1b is the dominant Y-DNA).
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It depends how much did they multiply. It does not matter
how much they were at the beginning. Couple thousands of
people then could give hundrets of thousands, even millions
people today - could, but it not means, they did.
And I see, that R1a is very equally spread.
Interesting is, that I2, I1 and R1b is mainly around Palermo.The northeast European input on the island is very slow. But either way if we measure it by R1b and I2, then it is again absent in NE Sicily.
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R1b is mostly Trapani actually. R1b increases as you move west. The thing with Palermo is, many of their subclades of J2 and E1b1b are the MENA subclades, while those in eastern Sicily are Neolithic and mediated through the Anatolia --> Balkans --> Italy route.
So autosomally some Palermitans can come out quite MENA but in terms of haplogroup you see they have much more foreign input of all kinds.
What is also interesting is the inland west of the island, like Caltanissetta. They are intermediate between east and west Sicily and while they have low foreign input from North Europe, they have more MENA input than the east from recent times, and high haplogroup G, from a Caucasus-based wave of migration in the Bronze Age.
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In fact going by I1 and R1b, even Calabria has seen more migration from the north than has NE Sicily.
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calabria has highest R1b L23 frequency in southeast europe I believe.
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