German Army Prepares For "Break-Up Of European Union" Or Worse...

[Crn Volk]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-1...union-or-worse

German Army Prepares For "Break-Up Of European Union" Or Worse...

By Tyler Durden
Created 11/07/2017 - 05:00

The German military is preparing for a number of scenarios over the next two decades ranging from "the disintegration of the EU" to "multipolar competition" and the unraveling of Western order.

[4]

According to an internal report seen by Der Spiegel [5], the 102-page “Strategic Perspective 2040” report - adopted in late February and kept under wraps since then - outlines six scenarios for how social trends and international conflicts are likely to play out and influence German security.

[6]

In one of the six scenarios ("The EU in Disintegration and Germany in Reactive Mode"), the authors assume a "multiple confrontation".

The future projection describes a world in which the international order erodes after "decades of instability", the value systems worldwide diverge and globalization is stopped.



"The EU enlargement has been largely abandoned, other states have left the community Europe has lost its global competitiveness," write the Bundeswehr strategists:



"The increasingly disorderly, sometimes chaotic and conflict-prone world has dramatically changed the security environment of Germany and Europe."

In the fifth scenario ("West to the East"), some eastern EU countries are freezing the state of European integration while others have "joined the Eastern bloc".

In the fourth scenario ("multipolar competition"), extremism is on the rise and there are EU partners who "even occasionally seem to seek a specific approach to Russia's" state capitalist model ".

The document expressly makes no prognosis, but all scenarios are "plausible with the 2040 time horizon," write the authors.

[Óttar]

As of right now, if Germany starts shit, the French and Brits both by themselves can occupy Germany in a matter of minutes. Even the Polish have a larger army than Germany. It's pathetic.

[Crn Volk]

As of right now, if Germany starts shit, the French and Brits both by themselves can occupy Germany in a matter of minutes. Even the Polish have a larger army than Germany. It's pathetic.

One of the pitfalls of losing WW2...

[JohnSmith]

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-1...union-or-worse

German Army Prepares For "Break-Up Of European Union" Or Worse...

By Tyler Durden
Created 11/07/2017 - 05:00

The German military is preparing for a number of scenarios over the next two decades ranging from "the disintegration of the EU" to "multipolar competition" and the unraveling of Western order.

[4]

According to an internal report seen by Der Spiegel [5], the 102-page “Strategic Perspective 2040” report - adopted in late February and kept under wraps since then - outlines six scenarios for how social trends and international conflicts are likely to play out and influence German security.

[6]

In one of the six scenarios ("The EU in Disintegration and Germany in Reactive Mode"), the authors assume a "multiple confrontation".

The future projection describes a world in which the international order erodes after "decades of instability", the value systems worldwide diverge and globalization is stopped.



"The EU enlargement has been largely abandoned, other states have left the community Europe has lost its global competitiveness," write the Bundeswehr strategists:



"The increasingly disorderly, sometimes chaotic and conflict-prone world has dramatically changed the security environment of Germany and Europe."

In the fifth scenario ("West to the East"), some eastern EU countries are freezing the state of European integration while others have "joined the Eastern bloc".

In the fourth scenario ("multipolar competition"), extremism is on the rise and there are EU partners who "even occasionally seem to seek a specific approach to Russia's" state capitalist model ".

The document expressly makes no prognosis, but all scenarios are "plausible with the 2040 time horizon," write the authors.

It would start with Greece. If Greece cannot finance themselves within the next year or two. They could be headed out of the EURO and if that happens Europe can unravel quickly. The Bond Market could implode and we would see a depression like we never have seen.

[JohnSmith]

I think we could see some real tension between France and Germany possibly also. Macron wants EuroBonds and I do not see Germany approving of this, so this could be a serious problem when the ECB starts tightening and the Bond markets become uncontrollable.