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yeah but i don't see why they should be much more northern than them. We have Iron Age dna from Bulgaria actually and this are the populations he was closest to
Balkans_IA:Average Germany_Medieval_o STR_300 CE:495 3.732
2 Balkans_IA:Average Germany_Medieval_o_Averaged Averaged 3.732
3 Balkans_IA:Average Hungary_Medieval_Szolad_o1 SZ19 CE:505 4.009
4 Balkans_IA:Average Hungary_Medieval_Szolad_o1_Averaged Averaged 4.009
5 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo22 4.037
6 Balkans_IA:Average Mycenaean I9041 BCE:1450 4.048
7 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo_Averaged Averaged 4.087
8 Balkans_IA:Average Mycenaean_Averaged Averaged 4.095
9 Balkans_IA:Average Sicilian_East EastSicilian2H 4.099
10 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo14 4.111
11 Balkans_IA:Average Custom AGUser_Alstrohma_Wright 4.307
12 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo15 4.33
13 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo13 4.382
14 Balkans_IA:Average Italy_Medieval_Collegno CL121 CE:671 4.419
15 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo19 4.427
16 Balkans_IA:Average Scythian_Hungary DA198 BCE:550 4.434
17 Balkans_IA:Average Hungary_Medieval_Szolad SZ40 CE:505 4.436
18 Balkans_IA:Average Albanian ALB212 4.438
19 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_South ITS7 4.455
20 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Tuscan NA20505 4.473
21 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Tuscan_Averaged Averaged 4.474
22 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo17 4.491
23 Balkans_IA:Average Italian_Abruzzo ItalyAbruzzo16 4.496
24 Balkans_IA:Average Custom AGUser_Dibran 4.576
And this was before the Roman period when many people from the Eastern Mediterranea came into the region
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I uploaded this sample to GEDmatch:
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...Age-Balkan-DNA
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As far as i know we have two early Slavs from Avar Hungary and two from Slavic Bohemia. One was West Slavic-like and the other Belarusian-like. In Slavic Bohemia one was also West Slavic-like and other more Baltic-shifted. So i would say that Proto-Slavs were East Polish/South Belarusian-like and that very much fits archaeology and linguistics which pinpoint the slavic homeland somewhere in northern Ukraine/Belarus (Kiev culture)
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[1] "distance%=2.2724"
Bulgarian
Balkans_IA,52.4
Avar_Hungary_Szolad,47.6
[1] "distance%=2.4686"
Bulgarian
Slavic_Bohemia,53.4
Balkans_IA,46.6
The Slavic Avar fits better than Slavic_Bohemia, but the difference isn't very statistically significant. Adding Mycenaeans improves the fit considerably.
[1] "distance%=1.9243"
Bulgarian
Avar_Hungary_Szolad,52.6
Mycenaean,35.2
Balkans_IA,12.2
40% Slavic doesn't seems to be that far from reality, actually they probably have even more (too much shared IBD with Northeast Europeans).
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Mycenaeans are too early to use them in this model IMO. We need more of Iron Age and Roman Era ancient samples.
In 500 AD (the beginning of Slavic Invasion of the Balkans) genetically Mycenaean-like populations no longer existed.
Try using only Av2 instead of average of both Avar samples, probably the fit will improve (because Av1 was less Slavic).
Balkans_IA is just one sample anyway, so no difference. But Avar_Hungary_Szolad is average of two samples, AFAIK.
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