Lenny
03-08-2010, 06:52 PM
Sweden votes in September of this year
To gain any seats, a party needs over 4% of the vote
In 2006, the nationalist Sverigedemokraterna (Sweden-Democrats) took 3%.
Polls have shown (http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/35193/opposition_close_to_50_mark_in_sweden1/) their support has doubled to around 6%.
Here are the 2006 results and the current projections for 2010. The parties' ideologies as I see them are appended.
[A caveat: Swedish politics, not that I'm very familiar with it, seems very strange to me: Sweden is supposedly led now by a "center-right" coalition, but the ideologies of two of the constituent parties would qualify more as very left-wing to my mind, certainly socially {i.e., in the things that actually matter}...]
Sept. 2006 Results
'Rightist' Paragrouping
26.2% : Moderaterna [center-right, freemarketeer]
7.5% : Folkpartiet liberalerna [center-left, freemarketeer]
6.6% : Kristdemokraterna [respectable right-wing]
7.9% : Centerpartiet [center-left]
48.2% Subtotal (51% of all seats)
'Leftist' Paragrouping
35.0% : Socialdemokraterna [respectable far-leftism]
5.9% : Vänsterpartiet [far-left, neoCommunist]
5.2% : Greens
46.1% Subtotal
Parties under 4%-Hurdle
2.9% : Sverigedemokraterna [non-radical voelkisch]
{other single-issue or joke parties of negligible importance}
0.1% : Nationaldemokraterna [radical voelkisch]
Source (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sweden_general_election,_2006)
Sept. 2010 -- Polling results as of March 8th, 2010
'Rightist' Paragrouping (plus Sverigedemokraterna)
27.7% : Moderaterna [center-right, freemarketeer]
6.3% : Folkpartiet liberalerna [center-left, freemarketeer]
5.6% : Sverigedemokraterna [non-radical voelkisch]
4.1% : Kristdemokraterna [respectable right-wing]
4.9% : Centerpartiet [center-left]
48.6% Subtotal
'Leftist' Paragrouping
35.2% : Socialdemokraterna [respectable far-leftism]
4.8% : Vänsterpartiet [far-left, neoCommunist]
9.7% : Greens
49.7% Subtotal
Source (http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/35193/opposition_close_to_50_mark_in_sweden1/)
Things are very tight -- A shift of one percent of the vote changes what the government will be.
But one thing looks clear: There can be no "right-wing" coalition without the Sverigedemokraterna. The 'good guys' could be the "kingmakers" -- could put the "right-wing" coalition over the top. :D :thumb001:
To gain any seats, a party needs over 4% of the vote
In 2006, the nationalist Sverigedemokraterna (Sweden-Democrats) took 3%.
Polls have shown (http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/35193/opposition_close_to_50_mark_in_sweden1/) their support has doubled to around 6%.
Here are the 2006 results and the current projections for 2010. The parties' ideologies as I see them are appended.
[A caveat: Swedish politics, not that I'm very familiar with it, seems very strange to me: Sweden is supposedly led now by a "center-right" coalition, but the ideologies of two of the constituent parties would qualify more as very left-wing to my mind, certainly socially {i.e., in the things that actually matter}...]
Sept. 2006 Results
'Rightist' Paragrouping
26.2% : Moderaterna [center-right, freemarketeer]
7.5% : Folkpartiet liberalerna [center-left, freemarketeer]
6.6% : Kristdemokraterna [respectable right-wing]
7.9% : Centerpartiet [center-left]
48.2% Subtotal (51% of all seats)
'Leftist' Paragrouping
35.0% : Socialdemokraterna [respectable far-leftism]
5.9% : Vänsterpartiet [far-left, neoCommunist]
5.2% : Greens
46.1% Subtotal
Parties under 4%-Hurdle
2.9% : Sverigedemokraterna [non-radical voelkisch]
{other single-issue or joke parties of negligible importance}
0.1% : Nationaldemokraterna [radical voelkisch]
Source (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sweden_general_election,_2006)
Sept. 2010 -- Polling results as of March 8th, 2010
'Rightist' Paragrouping (plus Sverigedemokraterna)
27.7% : Moderaterna [center-right, freemarketeer]
6.3% : Folkpartiet liberalerna [center-left, freemarketeer]
5.6% : Sverigedemokraterna [non-radical voelkisch]
4.1% : Kristdemokraterna [respectable right-wing]
4.9% : Centerpartiet [center-left]
48.6% Subtotal
'Leftist' Paragrouping
35.2% : Socialdemokraterna [respectable far-leftism]
4.8% : Vänsterpartiet [far-left, neoCommunist]
9.7% : Greens
49.7% Subtotal
Source (http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/35193/opposition_close_to_50_mark_in_sweden1/)
Things are very tight -- A shift of one percent of the vote changes what the government will be.
But one thing looks clear: There can be no "right-wing" coalition without the Sverigedemokraterna. The 'good guys' could be the "kingmakers" -- could put the "right-wing" coalition over the top. :D :thumb001: