Curtis24
09-04-2011, 03:53 AM
Is declining demographics an inevitable result of industrialization?
In China, having children is no longer a given
China's demographic time bomb has been attributed to the one-child rule. But it's more than that. Some Chinese couples are choosing to remain childless, and many single women are in no hurry to marry.
The Chinese government's strict controls on family size have curtailed… (David Gray, Reuters)September 02, 2011|By David Pierson, Los Angeles TimesReporting from Beijing — By Chinese standards, Chu Yang and Geng Chen should have had a child years ago.
The married couple in their early 30s are always reminded of that by family when they return home for the spring festival holidays.
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Demographic Profile
Survey demographic population profiles with an online panel. zoomerang.com"They say we're too different and that we're weird and pathetic," said Chu, who runs a trendy boutique with his wife in an aging section of Beijing filled with classical courtyard homes.
But Yang and Chen have their reasons. They point to uncertainties that have accompanied China's breakneck development, including a string of food safety scandals and a deadly crash on one of the nation's showcase high-speed rail lines. Then there's the soaring cost of living, underscored by the worst inflation in three years and a property bubble that refuses to deflate.
"You don't know what kind of country the kid is going to grow up in," said Chu, who sports a snarky smile above a vintage T-shirt and bright red sneakers. "Only when you have lots of money will everything be all right."
Experts have long cited three decades of strict population control for China's looming demographic time bomb. Declining birthrates and a rapidly aging society threaten to sap the country of its greatest economic asset: human labor. Some are calling for the nation's one-child policy to be relaxed.
But Chu and Geng show why it may not matter. Economic and social pressures are loosening the filial obligations that have long bound Chinese society. The younger generation longs for more personal comfort. Many Chinese wouldn't have larger families even if they were free to do so. Some want no children at all.
Other social changes are also depressing the country's birthrate. Some women are choosing to marry later if at all. And the cultural preference for boys — aided by sex-selection technology — has created an alarming gender imbalance in a nation with 1.3 billion people. There are now 118 males for every 100 females in China.
Tens of millions of men could be left without marriage partners, a major threat to social stability.
It all spells trouble for the world's most populous country. China's economic miracle was built on the backs of its working-age adults, who will soon retire and find fewer children to pay for their care.
The number of Chinese under 14 has declined 6.3% in the last decade and now accounts for just 16.6% of the population. Meanwhile, the share of Chinese age 60 and older is expected to more than double to 30% of the population by 2050.
Southern Guangdong province asked the central government in July for permission to pilot a program that would allow couples to have two children if one spouse is an only child. At least five other provinces have reportedly considered a similar program. Many cities allow couples leeway if both spouses have no siblings. Exceptions already exist for some rural couples and ethnic minorities, among others.
But it may not do much good. Dogs are the new bundles of joy for some childless families, giving rise to a phenomenon known as ding chong, or "double income with pet."
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And more Chinese women, particularly those with college degrees and white-collar jobs, are delaying marriage and childbearing — or avoiding them altogether. The divorce rate climbed to 8.5% last year, the fifth year in a row it has risen.
"In major cities, the number of women enrolled in schools is equal to men, so they're becoming more aware of their status and more aware of their independence," said Chen Xiaomin, director of the Women's Studies Center at the Shanghai University of Political Science and Law. "To them, getting married and having children is now a choice."
That's a significant shift in a nation where traditional gender roles have been the bedrock of family.
Chinese have dubbed these unmarried females sheng nu, or "leftover women." They're often pitied on TV game shows and reality programs with titles such as "Let's Date" and "If You Are the One."
Many single women bristle at the stereotypes. The problem, some say, is a dearth of worthy bachelors.
"There's a lot of excellent women who are still single who own a car, own an apartment and have a career, but can't find the right other half," said a 28-year-old Beijinger who would give only her last name, Zhang. "We don't want to compromise. We have high expectations."
Zhang, who was schooled in Britain and is employed by a media company, said she intimidates potential suitors. A steakhouse dinner date went south after she told her companion in jest that he was holding his knife and fork in the wrong hands.
"He got very shy after that," she said. "He wasn't the one."
Zhang said her mother once resorted to visiting a so-called matchmaking park, where parents trade dossiers on their children in hopes of setting them up. It proved fruitless.
http://articles.latimes.com/2011/sep/02/business/la-fi-china-no-child-20110903/2
In China, having children is no longer a given
China's demographic time bomb has been attributed to the one-child rule. But it's more than that. Some Chinese couples are choosing to remain childless, and many single women are in no hurry to marry.
The Chinese government's strict controls on family size have curtailed… (David Gray, Reuters)September 02, 2011|By David Pierson, Los Angeles TimesReporting from Beijing — By Chinese standards, Chu Yang and Geng Chen should have had a child years ago.
The married couple in their early 30s are always reminded of that by family when they return home for the spring festival holidays.
Ads by Google
Demographic Profile
Survey demographic population profiles with an online panel. zoomerang.com"They say we're too different and that we're weird and pathetic," said Chu, who runs a trendy boutique with his wife in an aging section of Beijing filled with classical courtyard homes.
But Yang and Chen have their reasons. They point to uncertainties that have accompanied China's breakneck development, including a string of food safety scandals and a deadly crash on one of the nation's showcase high-speed rail lines. Then there's the soaring cost of living, underscored by the worst inflation in three years and a property bubble that refuses to deflate.
"You don't know what kind of country the kid is going to grow up in," said Chu, who sports a snarky smile above a vintage T-shirt and bright red sneakers. "Only when you have lots of money will everything be all right."
Experts have long cited three decades of strict population control for China's looming demographic time bomb. Declining birthrates and a rapidly aging society threaten to sap the country of its greatest economic asset: human labor. Some are calling for the nation's one-child policy to be relaxed.
But Chu and Geng show why it may not matter. Economic and social pressures are loosening the filial obligations that have long bound Chinese society. The younger generation longs for more personal comfort. Many Chinese wouldn't have larger families even if they were free to do so. Some want no children at all.
Other social changes are also depressing the country's birthrate. Some women are choosing to marry later if at all. And the cultural preference for boys — aided by sex-selection technology — has created an alarming gender imbalance in a nation with 1.3 billion people. There are now 118 males for every 100 females in China.
Tens of millions of men could be left without marriage partners, a major threat to social stability.
It all spells trouble for the world's most populous country. China's economic miracle was built on the backs of its working-age adults, who will soon retire and find fewer children to pay for their care.
The number of Chinese under 14 has declined 6.3% in the last decade and now accounts for just 16.6% of the population. Meanwhile, the share of Chinese age 60 and older is expected to more than double to 30% of the population by 2050.
Southern Guangdong province asked the central government in July for permission to pilot a program that would allow couples to have two children if one spouse is an only child. At least five other provinces have reportedly considered a similar program. Many cities allow couples leeway if both spouses have no siblings. Exceptions already exist for some rural couples and ethnic minorities, among others.
But it may not do much good. Dogs are the new bundles of joy for some childless families, giving rise to a phenomenon known as ding chong, or "double income with pet."
Ads by Google
Want Low Cost Surrogacy?
Unsure about next steps Overseas. We can help. NYS Licensed Agency Indianeggdonors.com/IndianSurrogateSet default search
Make Google Your Default Search Engine. Switch Now! www.Google.com
And more Chinese women, particularly those with college degrees and white-collar jobs, are delaying marriage and childbearing — or avoiding them altogether. The divorce rate climbed to 8.5% last year, the fifth year in a row it has risen.
"In major cities, the number of women enrolled in schools is equal to men, so they're becoming more aware of their status and more aware of their independence," said Chen Xiaomin, director of the Women's Studies Center at the Shanghai University of Political Science and Law. "To them, getting married and having children is now a choice."
That's a significant shift in a nation where traditional gender roles have been the bedrock of family.
Chinese have dubbed these unmarried females sheng nu, or "leftover women." They're often pitied on TV game shows and reality programs with titles such as "Let's Date" and "If You Are the One."
Many single women bristle at the stereotypes. The problem, some say, is a dearth of worthy bachelors.
"There's a lot of excellent women who are still single who own a car, own an apartment and have a career, but can't find the right other half," said a 28-year-old Beijinger who would give only her last name, Zhang. "We don't want to compromise. We have high expectations."
Zhang, who was schooled in Britain and is employed by a media company, said she intimidates potential suitors. A steakhouse dinner date went south after she told her companion in jest that he was holding his knife and fork in the wrong hands.
"He got very shy after that," she said. "He wasn't the one."
Zhang said her mother once resorted to visiting a so-called matchmaking park, where parents trade dossiers on their children in hopes of setting them up. It proved fruitless.
http://articles.latimes.com/2011/sep/02/business/la-fi-china-no-child-20110903/2