Will Gulf Arabia be more East Asian and South Asian admixed in a near future?

[reboun]

I think so because there are lots of Indians, Indonesians, Pakis, Chinese, Philippines in Emirates and their number is larger than native Emiratis. Therefore, in the near future Gulf Arabia would be significantly East Asian and South Asian shifted by DNA, right?

https://cdn.britannica.com/94/185094-050-1A80F05E/World-Data-ethnic-composition-pie-chart-United-Arab-Emirates.jpg

[Tooting Carmen]

Yes, but it also depends on how much the native Emiratis mix with these immigrant groups (they don't on the whole).

[reboun]

Bump

[RogueState]

We can have a dual scenario of segregation of ethnic Emiratis, as a ruling class (i.e. South African apartheid) and all other migrants that settle there and grow up together at school, work, mixing, creating a mutt_second_class_Emirati type of genetic profile

[Pro.crasti.nation]

I didn't think they gave out citizenship much?

Global economic collapse ("reset"), seems on the horizon. China's bubble is about ready to burst, without their economic input, I don't think the Middle East will hold up.
Whoever gets in, after Joe Biden, will inevitably present an "America First" economic policy, the globalists are losing the battle in America (imo), just a question of how far they take it.
Britain has already begun, in a muddled fashion, to move towards bilateralism and sovereignty, which will also reduce the value of "MFN" agreements with trading blocks and WTO agreements. All things have have propped up China, artificially.

The oil economy is gone, the US has more oil in reserve that it can access, than the entire Middle East (iirc), Canada has even more in shale. Russia has gas ... The Middle East only competes on price, but even then, America and Europe have shown a willingness to swallow absurd prices without social uprising/riots, if the government present a narrative (COVID/Ukraine), to "explain it".

The manual labour economy will be destroyed, without huge foreign inflows of capital (oil & China), so ... I can't see many South Asians remaining in the region, in the medium term.

[Pro.crasti.nation]

We can have a dual scenario of segregation of ethnic Emiratis, as a ruling class (i.e. South African apartheid) and all other migrants that settle there and grow up together at school, work, mixing, creating a mutt_second_class_Emirati type of genetic profile

Won't work. Indians and Europeans will dominate the upper tier, because of their dominance over the global economic order. The locals won't accept that, so a Malaysia style racial-boost/quota system will have to be in place, to keep the Arabs in control of their economies, but it will be very fragile.

South Africa was basically English > Indian > black, but Indians tend to expand upwards, given time, whilst the English move out. Also, I don't think the business caste mix much, very difficult to pick up a Patel (from personal experience), and mixing will always occur in order of cultural preference/bias. So more likely to see Indian-Bangladeshi mixing but no Indian-Chinese mixing.