800BC- 600BC model- Rise of Scythians
Next period, this time from 800BC to 600BC.
We are finally reaching the Scythian Age and there will be a lot going on in Eastern Europe.
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikiped...tic_steppe.jpg
We still have an arechological gap in Scandinavia and most of CE. The only Danish sample is of low quality but quite interesting.
Denmark_BA before 800 BC>
Target: Denmark_BA:RISE276__BC_662__Cov_7.87%
Distance: 4.3150% / 0.04314970 | ADC: 0.25x RC
60.2 England_LBA
17.0 France_GrandEst_LBA
11.2 Estonia_BA.SG
7.4 Armenia_Bagheri_Tchala_EIA
2.0 Japan_Nagabaka_2800BP
1.8 Armenia_LBA.SG
0.4 Ukraine_Volyn_Lusatian_EIA
between 1600-1400BC
Target: Denmark_BA:RISE276__BC_662__Cov_7.87%
Distance: 3.8187% / 0.03818735 | ADC: 0.25x RC
39.6 Scotland_Orkney_MBA.SG
29.4 Croatia_MLBA
20.8 Russia_MLBA_Krasnoyarsk
10.2 Poland_Trzciniec_MBA
Interestingly, the current Germanic people are not very similar to the Danish sample and correlate with more distant populations.
Distance to: Swedish
0.03284402 Slovakia_IA_Vekerzug:I12106__BC_664__Cov_55.91%
0.03727704 Slovakia_IA_Vekerzug:I11719__BC_626__Cov_54.31%
0.03764997 England_EIA:I13682__BC_662__Cov_63.26%
0.03912739 Czechia_IA_Hallstatt:I16326__BC_675__Cov_42.35%
0.04001789 England_EIA:I13688__BC_639__Cov_58.09%
0.04021361 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA:UKR111__ BC_657__Cov_41.62%
0.04026519 Hungary_EIA_o3:I25525__BC_600__Cov_68.20%
0.04071566 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR04 2__BC_660__Cov_16.42%
0.04152593 England_EIA:I19287__BC_620__Cov_38.19%
0.04190399 England_EIA:I17260__BC_600__Cov_57.29%
0.04228379 England_EIA:I16618__BC_654__Cov_36.01%
0.04239171 England_EIA:I19861__BC_647__Cov_58.85%
0.04412038 England_EIA:I19868__BC_629__Cov_49.59%
0.04536849 England_EIA:I19862__BC_621__Cov_57.07%
0.04550280 Slovenia_EIA:I5690__BC_624__Cov_82.13%
0.04551320 England_EIA:C10462__BC_750__Cov_31.38%
0.04633005 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR03 5AB__BC_650__Cov_81.80%
0.04730541 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR04 3__BC_650__Cov_32.42%
0.04920865 England_EIA:I27382__BC_642__Cov_73.86%
0.05013803 Ukraine_Scythian.SG:scy009_noUDG.SG__BC_618__Cov_6 9.53%
0.05050130 England_EIA:I20585__BC_600__Cov_64.38%
0.05102799 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR04 4__BC_650__Cov_36.39%
0.05103517 England_EIA:I12783__BC_649__Cov_61.15%
0.05105098 Montenegro_IA:I13170_v54.1_addback__BC_600__Cov_66 .37%
0.05135111 Czechia_IA_Hallstatt:I16327__BC_642__Cov_42.02%
Target: Swedish
Distance: 1.5825% / 0.01582471 | ADC: 0.5x RC
41.6 Slovakia_IA_Vekerzug
26.0 England_EIA
13.0 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA
11.8 England_Derbyshire_IA.SG
7.6 Ukraine_Srubnaya_MLBA
Target: German_Hamburg
Distance: 0.8595% / 0.00859458 | ADC: 0.5x RC
27.4 England_EIA
19.4 Slovakia_IA_Vekerzug
19.0 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA
15.4 Slovenia_EIA
10.2 Denmark_BA
8.6 Hungary_EIA_o3
I would rather explain the proximity to the Scythian samples so far by the lack of a local sample base.
It is quite possible that the Germanics actually come partly from Trzciniec, or rather the proto-Germano-Slavic population that we have already seen near Tollensee.
It is worth paying attention to who these Scythians were before 800 BC.
Distance to: Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA:UKR111__ BC_657__Cov_41.62%
0.04713914 England_LBA_lowEEF:I5383__BC_995__Cov_24.36%
0.05159140 Italy_Tarquinia_IA:ITTQ11__BC_810__Cov_67.75%
0.05182990 Czechia_LBA_Knoviz:I16549__BC_918__Cov_45.51%
0.05227373 England_LBA:I14864__BC_889__Cov_64.97%
0.05273528 Czechia_LBA_Knoviz:I20526__BC_900__Cov_17.62%
0.05444538 Scotland_LBA:I2861__BC_893__Cov_53.76%
0.05497588 Ukraine_Volyn_Lusatian_EIA:UKR168__BC_850__Cov_57. 47%
0.05520032 England_LBA:I14358__BC_858__Cov_62.54%
0.05699525 England_LBA:I16469__BC_995__Cov_31.65%
0.05764161 Ukraine_Odesa_ThracianHallstatt_2_EIA:UKR000__BC_8 50__Cov_68.51%
0.05809031 Scotland_LBA:I2860__BC_874__Cov_70.84%
0.05908766 England_LBA:I14377__BC_939__Cov_67.64%
0.05912873 England_LBA:I14379__BC_851__Cov_57.31%
0.05922461 England_LBA:I12614__BC_950__Cov_11.87%
0.05946585 England_LBA:I14862__BC_884__Cov_71.32%
0.05966404 England_LBA_lowEEF:I13711__BC_978__Cov_72.69%
0.06033422 Czechia_LBA_Knoviz_low_res:I14481__BC_884__Cov_7.5 6%
0.06129395 Scotland_LBA:I2859__BC_860__Cov_69.03%
0.06225508 Slovenia_LBA:I5697__BC_849__Cov_80.12%
0.06334214 England_LBA_highEEF:I14865__BC_873__Cov_20.93%
0.06346310 Hungary_LBA_Kyjatice.SG:BR2_noUDG.SG__BC_908__Cov_ 99.97%
0.06518097 Hungary_LBA:I25505__BC_961__Cov_39.03%
0.06548917 England_LBA:I12624__BC_850__Cov_21.40%
0.06577430 Hungary_LBA_Kyjatice:I1504__BC_908__Cov_58.62%
0.06613753 Scotland_LBA:I3130__BC_894__Cov_70.53%
Target: Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA:UKR111__ BC_657__Cov_41.62%
Distance: 3.1858% / 0.03185792 | ADC: 2x RC
49.2 Czechia_LBA_Knoviz
44.8 Ukraine_Volyn_Lusatian_EIA
4.2 England_LBA
1.8 Italy_Tarquinia_IA
and between 1400-1600BC
Target: Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA:UKR111__ BC_657__Cov_41.62%
Distance: 2.6161% / 0.02616051 | ADC: 1x RC
57.8 Poland_Trzciniec_MBA
24.0 Croatia_MLBA
16.8 England_MBA
1.4 Denmark_BA_Bybjerg
between 1800-2000BC
Target: Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA:UKR111__ BC_657__Cov_41.62%
Distance: 3.1976% / 0.03197627 | ADC: 1x RC
74.8 Czechia_EBA_Unetice
25.2 Hungary_Fuzesabony_MBA
Have fun
Ancient samples in chronological order
Please note, If contaminated or low coverage samples appear in the results, they can/should be removed.
Apart from no ADC variant, it's also worth using distance reduction 0.25x and 0.5x to avoid artificial atomization of the results.
Unfortunately, we do not have any samples from Belarus, Lithuania and Poland so we can only speculate based on neighboring samples where cremation was not practiced.
Anyway, during this period, we already have samples from Estonia, Latvia and Ukraine. So let's see what the results are like for the current Balts and Slavs.
Interestingly, the correlation to Scythian samples is much higher than to Baltic ones. However, it is worth remembering that these Scythians are local populations, derived from the same populations.
Distance to: Belarusian
0.03010288 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA:UKR116 __BC_645__Cov_46.54%
0.04064186 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR04 4__BC_650__Cov_36.39%
0.04197999 Slovakia_IA_Vekerzug:I12106__BC_664__Cov_55.91%
0.04226400 Hungary_EIA_o3:I25525__BC_600__Cov_68.20%
0.04237368 Montenegro_IA:I13170_v54.1_addback__BC_600__Cov_66 .37%
0.04531342 Ukraine_Scythian.SG:scy009_noUDG.SG__BC_618__Cov_6 9.53%
0.04586983 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR03 5AB__BC_650__Cov_81.80%
0.04664364 Slovakia_IA_Vekerzug:I11719__BC_626__Cov_54.31%
0.04868907 Italy_Sicily_Himera_480BCE_3:I10943__BC_640__Cov_5 9.11%
0.05173498 Ukraine_Scythian:MJ14__BC_643__Cov_8.13%
0.05175684 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA:UKR111__ BC_657__Cov_41.62%
0.06097758 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR04 2__BC_660__Cov_16.42%
0.06273493 Estonia_IA.SG:s19_V10_2_noUDG.SG__BC_623__Cov_23.8 6%
0.06392835 Latvia_BA:Kivutkalns42__BC_747__Cov_51.35%
0.06411438 Czechia_IA_Hallstatt:I16326__BC_675__Cov_42.35%
0.06486556 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR04 3__BC_650__Cov_32.42%
0.06882132 Latvia_BA:Kivutkalns25__BC_687__Cov_59.86%
0.06976736 Latvia_BA:Kivutkalns215__BC_609__Cov_74.70%
0.07296201 Latvia_BA:Kivutkalns153__BC_683__Cov_21.49%
0.07372688 Estonia_BA.SG:s19_X14_1_noUDG.SG__BC_630__Cov_18.5 4%
0.07423099 Ukraine_Scythian.SG:scy010_noUDG.SG__BC_656__Cov_2 7.35%
0.07509131 Czechia_IA_Hallstatt:I16088__BC_643__Cov_34.39%
0.07537624 Estonia_IA.SG:s19_0LS10_1_noUDG.SG__BC_659__Cov_20 .33%
0.07761848 Latvia_BA:Kivutkalns209__BC_666__Cov_70.92%
0.07784228 England_EIA:I19861__BC_647__Cov_58.85%
Target: Belarusian
Distance: 1.4911% / 0.01491086 | ADC: 0.5x RC
32.6 Latvia_BA
28.4 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2_EIA
11.6 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA
11.0 Ukraine_Scythian
10.6 Montenegro_IA
5.8 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA
Target: PolishL_Mazovia1
Distance: 2.1831% / 0.02183088 | ADC: 0.5x RC
41.4 Ukraine_Scythian
34.8 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA
10.0 Ukraine_Srubnaya_MLBA
8.6 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA
5.2 Netherlands_EIA_low_res
Target: Ukrainian_Rivne
Distance: 1.5658% / 0.01565758 | ADC: 0.5x RC
30.4 Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA
26.2 Montenegro_IA
17.2 Latvia_BA
14.0 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA
12.2 Ukraine_Scythian
Target: Lithuanian
Distance: 1.7625% / 0.01762506 | ADC: 0.5x RC
39.6 Latvia_BA
28.4 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA
19.4 Ukraine_Scythian.SG
12.6 Ukraine_Scythian
Target: Latvian
Distance: 1.3321% / 0.01332064 | ADC: 0.5x RC
35.4 Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA
33.8 Latvia_BA
15.0 Italy_Sicily_Himera_480BCE_3
8.4 Estonia_IA.SG
7.4 Estonia_BA.SG
We already know sample Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2, so let's take a look at who the second popular Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3 was.
before 800BC
Target: Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA:UKR116 __BC_645__Cov_46.54%
Distance: 2.1171% / 0.02117063 | ADC: 0.5x RC
56.6 Lithuania_BA
22.6 Ukraine_Volyn_Lusatian_EIA
10.8 Ukraine_VertebaCave_BellBeaker
7.6 Armenia_LBA.SG
1.4 Hungary_LBA
1.0 England_LBA
between 1600-1400BC
Target: Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_NomEl_3_EIA:UKR116 __BC_645__Cov_46.54%
Distance: 1.8097% / 0.01809730
76.6 Poland_Trzciniec_MBA
15.8 Ukraine_Komarów_MBA
7.0 Armenia_MBA_o
0.6 Greece_Crete_LBA
Here we can speculate with high probability that Ukraine_Kharkiv_Scythian_SivDon_Nom_2 was a Slav with a slight Caucasian admixture.
To be sure, let's check what Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR03 5AB looked like between 1000-800BC
Target: Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR03 5AB__BC_650__Cov_81.80%
Distance: 1.1059% / 0.01105906
27.8 Estonia_BA.SG
16.0 France_GrandEst_LBA.SG
12.4 Lithuania_BA
11.4 Czechia_LBA_Knoviz
10.4 England_LBA
7.8 Armenia_Bagheri_Tchala_EIA
6.4 Macedonia_IA
5.0 Italy_Sicily_IA
1.4 Ukraine_Odesa_ThracianHallstatt_2_EIA
0.8 China_Henan_Western_Zhou_Dynasty
0.6 France_GrandEst_LBA
between 1600-1400BC
Target: Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR03 5AB__BC_650__Cov_81.80%
Distance: 1.1208% / 0.01120830
71.0 Poland_Trzciniec_MBA
24.8 Greece_BA_Mycenaean
1.8 Spain_EBA
0.8 China_WLR_LN_o
0.8 Greece_Crete_LBA
0.8 Ukraine_Komarów_MBA
and between 2600-2400 BC
Target: Ukraine_Kyiv_Scythian_RightDnipro_IllThr_EIA:UKR03 5AB__BC_650__Cov_81.80%
Distance: 1.9953% / 0.01995263
27.2 Poland_CordedWare_1.SG
26.8 Hungary_EBA_BellBeaker
19.0 Russia_Fatyanovo_Yaroslavl_BA
13.6 Greece_Perachora_BA
5.6 Russia_Fatyanovo_Ivanovo_BA
3.8 Moldova_MBA_Catacomb
2.8 Sweden_Vasterbjers_PWC_BAC
0.8 China_SEastAsia_Coastal_LN
0.4 Ethiopia_4500BP
If I were to speculate, I would say that it is a local type from Central Europe that absorbed local elements somewhere in Greek colonies on the Black Sea coast. He does not correlate much with Central Asia.
It is worth noting that the Lusatian Culture probably disappeared as a result of the Scythian invasion. The stronghold in Biskupin was deserted with no traces of corpses, but Scythian arrowheads were found.
Earlier periods >
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...tiation-period
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...he-birth-of-BB
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...C-2200BC-model
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...C-2000BC-model
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...C-1800BC-model
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...6%23283%3Btice
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...00BC-model-MBA
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...ollense-battle
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...00BC-model-LBA
https://www.theapricity.com/forum/sh...nfield-horizon