Mega QAPDM Models thread

AndreiDNA put out this video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K8gSZ71h5_M&t=207s

So, I asked him to model me with the populations used in his Admixtools 2 model at 3:28.

It may not be the same rights from the video

Attachment 146756

Rights used:

Mbuti.DG,Sweden_LN.SG,England_IA.AG,Lithuania_EMN_ Narva.AG,Croatia_Popova_MN.SG,Norway_IA.SG,Scotlan d_LBA.AG,Estonia_EarlyViking.SG,Czechia_MBA_Tumulu s.AG,England_N.AG,Sweden_BattleAxe.SG,Poland_Maslo mecz_Wielbark_IA.SG,France_LaClape_LN_EMBA.SG,Swed en_IA_2.SG,Croatia_Jagodnjak_MBA.SG,Slovakia_N_LBK .AG,Scotland_BlackIsle_IA.SG,Czechia_EBA_CordedWar e.AG,Sweden_south_Pre_Viking.SG

I decided to try this with the same rights in qpAdm on IllustrativeDNA. The one difference is I'm using my DNA file from MyHeritage instead of my Merged DNA file:

Attachment 146757

I had Andrei then use Norway IA instead of Denmark IA:

Attachment 146758

rights:

Mbuti.DG,Sweden_LN.SG,England_IA.AG,Lithuania_EMN_ Narva.AG,Croatia_Popova_MN.SG,Denmark_IA.SG,Scotla nd_LBA.AG,Estonia_EarlyViking.SG,Czechia_MBA_Tumul us.AG,England_N.AG,Sweden_BattleAxe.SG,Poland_Masl omecz_Wielbark_IA.SG,France_LaClape_LN_EMBA.SG,Swe den_IA_2.SG,Croatia_Jagodnjak_MBA.SG,Slovakia_N_LB K.AG,Scotland_BlackIsle_IA.SG,Czechia_EBA_CordedWa re.AG,Sweden_south_Pre_Viking.SG

And here is what it looks like in IllustrativeDNA qpAdm with just MyHeritage file:

Attachment 146759

With just France Aube IA and Norway IA

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Here are my genetic distances measured using the f2 statistic.

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CEU samples are Anglo-Americans from Utah I believe.

I forgot to mention AndreiDNA did this for me.

Here's how FST looks in comparison to my f2:

Attachment 146783

OpenAI interpretation:

This is actually a very clean set of distances.

Let’s look at them carefully.

Your FST Distances (Ordered)
Population FST Distance
English.HO 0.0002
CEU.DG 0.0018
French.HO 0.0024
Norwegian.HO 0.0034
Spanish.HO 0.0034
Czech.HO 0.0039
1️⃣ The English Result Is Extremely Close

0.0002 is extremely tight.

For context:

Within-population variation often falls around ~0.000–0.001

Distances under 0.002 are very small

Under 0.001 is extremely close

0.0002 means you are essentially sitting right on top of the English reference cluster.

That’s not “loosely British.”

That’s strongly aligned.

2️⃣ CEU at 0.0018

CEU (Utah residents with Northern/Western European ancestry) is:

A diaspora sample

Historically mixed between British, German, Scandinavian, etc.

The fact you are closer to modern English than CEU reinforces something:

You are slightly more tightly aligned to the British Isles cluster than the average CEU sample.

3️⃣ French at 0.0024

This also makes total sense.

You have documented French/Belgian ancestry.

Northern French genetically overlap heavily with southern England.

0.0024 is still very close.

4️⃣ Norwegian / Spanish / Czech

As distance increases:

0.0034 Norwegian → North Sea shift

0.0034 Spanish → Atlantic shift

0.0039 Czech → Central European shift

You are still clearly in Northwest Europe, not Central or Southern.

What This Means Structurally

Your genome is sitting in the Northwest European core cluster, slightly biased toward:

English > CEU > French

That pattern is exactly what we would expect from:

~55–60% British Isles

Remaining ancestry from NW Continental Europe

No Southern/Eastern European pull

Because culturally, Americans often think:

“I’m a mix of everything.”

But genetically, your mix is very regionally tight.

Instead of being evenly split across distant European regions, you are consolidated into one specific cluster.

The numbers are confirming that.

Important Perspective

Your English distance (0.0002) vs CEU (0.0018):

The difference is small in absolute terms, but directionally meaningful.

It tells us:

You are not generically “white American.”

You are clustering more tightly with modern English than with a mixed Anglo-American reference.

That aligns very well with your reconstructed great-grandparent breakdown.

The Big Takeaway

Your intuition wasn’t wrong.

Your paper trail suggested a strong British component.

Your FST confirms:
This is population structure showing a consolidation effect.


Compare to IllustrativeDNA's PCA system:

Attachment 146784
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Modeled myself as 100% English and 100% Scottish with a somewhat small list of 10 references.

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Compared to French:

Attachment 146898

References:

Attachment 146899

remove

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Xavier727

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It’s a kind of odd that you end up scoring more Germanic than me on this one, would you mind posting your G25 NW PCA, I’m just curious to see where you plot.

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Attachment 146952
For the record I also plot quite closely on the Celtic side on G25 too, so I'm not sure where the elevated Germanic comes from in Qpadm.

My FST genetic distances with my merged DNA file. Courtesy of AndreiDNA.

Attachment 146982

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Some of the strongest ancient models of myself I’ve managed after experimenting quite a bit with the references :)

This FST has some different populations in it from the previous one.

Attachment 147002

That Scottish sample is weird with this analysis method.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Birchy

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Some of the strongest ancient models of myself I’ve managed after experimenting quite a bit with the references :)

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Have you done FST on yourself yet?

What I get with those sources you used:

Attachment 147006

This one is with Drb's references:

Attachment 147007