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Look at the Y-DNA of the Lithuanians, they're so heavily Finnic(opposite of Baltic), that only the Finns have more N1c1.
Finns have detectable admixture from Central Siberians and Nganasans. Of the Nganasans, 92.1% had marker P43 which included 38 samples from Karafet et al. 2002. Finland’s population is very small even more so in the past so a drastic change in Y-DNA was so much more susceptible. So many people neglect that! Some studies aren’t very representable of the entire populations. Y-DNA doesn’t give the entire picture of migrations. The high presence of M178 and P298 is interesting. Those N1c1 bearers could have become progressively more Caucasoid/West Eurasian over time in terms of autosomal level before settling in parts of Europe. There are too many possibilities and factors. As for R1b in the West or other haplogroups in other areas, you need to consider things like polygamy, warfare, heightened or diminished male fertility in certain subclades or whatever. Newcomers may have become the rulers by force.
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Practically saying, if the sample population would be Estonian, then the Lithuanians would score high Estonian scores and everyone would be saying that they're "Finnic", not "Baltic". The naivety of some people is remarkable. Lithuanians are one of the most "Finnic" people in Europe, after the Finns.
How are Lithuanians the second most Finnic? By both projects with certain parameters, you don’t genetically cluster with Scandinavians/Nordics (i.e., Swedes and Norwegians) nor Finnish. You’re making speculations, and it appears you’re deriving it from the North European component when that component encompasses several subset elements.