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Thread: Brazil's murder rate has almost halved in less than 2 years.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Black Panther View Post
    I think this is the greatest reduction in homicide rates in the History of Latin America. Not even post-Escobar Colombia managed to lower its then atrocious murder rate this fast. And the good news is the reduction in Brazil has been steady and continuous every month and almost uniform as all states have been experiencing more peaceful days. I can only hope this trend lives on and the national murder rate can be lower than 10/100,000, the limit rate considered "acceptable" by the UN.
    so what changed? why is it working this time?

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    Quote Originally Posted by MustafaTekin View Post
    Do they still hunt brown street children?
    17.8 murders per 100,000 is no ideal statistic, but the numbers have been going down in all states, especially the most non-White ones.

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    Quote Originally Posted by KMack View Post
    2017, 28.5 down to 17.88 for 2019
    Some sources credited 2017 with a rate of 31.5/100,000. Also, I am basing 17.88 based on August 2019. As violent crime rates have been going down even throughout the current year, the statistics for 2019 as a whole will be a little higher than 17.88. The 17.88 rate is reliable as a way to understanding how safe the country is today.

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    That's insane

    Reducing around 25% is a lot significant

    In ten years keeping such numbers Brazil can get less than 3 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants

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    The thing is that for many years Brazilian police was kept at check by leftards that called it murderous, racist (because it targeted criminals and most criminals happen to look black due to historical reasons) bla bla bla...

    Now these hypocrites are being kept silent. The country could progress at least in this field, in the others (mainly environment and economy) Bolsonaro government is disastrous.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ixulescu View Post
    so what changed? why is it working this time?
    A couple of factors I can think of:

    1. Criminals are increasingly afraid of the police. Despite the lower rates of violence, police killings have been going up in Brazil.
    2. While police killings have to be analyzed carefully in order to avoid injustices, the truth is most of the people killed by police in Brazil are dangerous criminals and since they are being killed by police, they can't live to kill civilians or each other.
    3. The worst factor in my opinion, is that former rival criminal factions have been making peace with one another as a way to not lose their members and be stronger to face the police.
    4. An air of hope among the poor right wing section of the country. A lot of young poor people who voted for Bolsonaro decided to wait for change instead of robbing people or selling dope.
    5. Ongoing law reforms aimed at giving harsher sentences for criminals and making the process of putting a suspect on trial faster.
    6. The economy is, though still slowly, actually recovering from a long recession.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Adamastor View Post
    The thing is that for many years Brazilian police was kept at check by leftards that called it murderous, racist (because it targeted criminals and most criminals happen to look black due to historical reasons) bla bla bla...

    Now these hypocrites are being kept silent. The country could progress at least in this field, in the others (mainly environment and economy) Bolsonaro government is disastrous.
    Well, another positive aspect is that even racial inequality in murder rates are being reduced since homicide rates have been reduced more profoundly among Blacks and Pardos as it's the Northeast and North that are seeing the greatest impact. The reduction in White homicide rates is still very significant too, though.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ranger0075 View Post
    That's insane

    Reducing around 25% is a lot significant

    In ten years keeping such numbers Brazil can get less than 3 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants
    While I personally think the reduction will be slower in the next years, it is possible to at least get the murder rate to below 10 / 100,000 inhabitants in ten years, perhaps even below 8.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Black Panther View Post
    While I personally think the reduction will be slower in the next years, it is possible to at least get the murder rate to below 10 / 100,000 inhabitants in ten years, perhaps even below 8.
    The leftists will take control over LatAm again. Here only yesterday were killed 30 people by these recent terrorist acts in the continent.

    Evo Morales was elected cheating again, some similar thing is going to happen in Ecuador and Chile. Argentina will fall soon with Kirchneirism

    Brazil is alone man, Bolsonaro need to be careful, these psychopaths even tried murdering him last year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ranger0075 View Post
    The leftists will take control of LatAm again. Here only yesterday were killed 30 people by these recent terrorist acts in the continent.

    Evo Morales was elected cheating again, some thing similar will happen in Ecuador and Chile. Argentina will fall soon

    Brazil is alone man, Bolsonaro need to be careful, these psychopaths even tried murdering him last year.
    Netanyahu is out, so if Trump is not reelected, Brazil will become a "rogue" state in the eyes of the international community.

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