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Edogan politics gave the like of Geert Wilder, Marie Le PEn and other 'Freedom Parties' in Europe the chance to portray Turkey as unfit EU membership. European xenophobia does a role, but Turkey solved its Kurdish problem, focus more on its economy (which the AKP did well in the 2000s before Erdogan foreign adventures) and less Islamist retrorics then there could have a chance Turkey could be in some EU agreement, if not part of the Eu proper. But as I said, Erdogan burned to many bridges.
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