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What Western European country is the most likely to desintegrate ?
I have been giving that one some thinking: Belgium and Sweden are likely candidates. But, knowing Belgium, they always manage to come back to the negotiation table and set things right. They have been talking about divorce for so long that nobody takes them seriously anymore. Sweden - with its overbearing left-wing government, its either cucked or silenced population and its out of control wave of migrants entering the country - may be gone before we know it (and both the Danes and Norwegians have their contingency planes). The UK - with its Brexit is also a likely candidate. But there is another country that worries me because it's, essentially, a bigger version of Sweden. That country is Germany. We see here that the government is willing to use whatever means at their disposal not just to silence their population (as far as they haven't been guilt-tripped into obedience Prussian-style anyway) while they import half the world. Not content with that - they try to export that model through the EU to the rest of Europe. Needless to say, there are some minor (but growing) secession movements in Baden-Wurttemberg (wanting to join Switzerland) and Bavaria (wanting to either become independent, join Switzerland or join Austria).
Now, if something would happen in Germany, throughout history we have seen how explosive things can get: Luther's nailing of the 95 thesis to the Wittenberg cathedral door, set the whole of Europe on fire (even more so with the Prager Fenstersturz in 1618 - back then also within the Holy Roman Empire) until this fire could be put out 131 years later in Munster, also in Germany. The 1848 revolutions in the German Lands, France and the Principalities of Italy sent shockwaves through Europe and the Emser Depesche lit the fuse for nearly a century of recurring catastrophes (known as the Franco-German emnity), and if this were to happen again, this could easily take the whole of Europe with it. In other words: an unstable Germany, is about the very last thing we need. They make our own problems seem like a walk in the park by comparison.
What are the likely trouble zones ? Anything urban: this means Berlin, the cities in the Elbe Valley, much of the Rhine-Ruhr-Main Conurbation as well as cities like Hamburg and Bremen. This is where you would see anything Left-wing or even Islamic take-over real quick as Antifa already controls that place. Remains the countryside. Now, if this were to happen - do you think that the surrounding countries should act or not - or just secure their own borders ?
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Originally Posted by Dorian
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