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According to the simple, back-of-the-envelope Gaussian model, Serbia is at ~63% into COVID-19, meaning we have about 14 days until the epidemic situation is put under control. I'll just drop the data for other countries I care about and I ran model for (in case someone cares): Croatia ~85%, North Macedonia ~48%, Greece ~83%, Italy ~88%, Spain ~90%, Austria ~100%, Poland ~58%. And note this is just a rough estimator, so no estimate should be taken for granted. The percent into epidemic is percent of modeled Gaussian curve area for the current data.
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