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Actually, it's 'sh'. Lukashenko both in Ukrainian and Russian (the surname is Ukrainian). In Belarussian it's just written as it sounds - Lukashenka.
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Bosnia is in the middle of EU territory and has lots of migrants passing through it from it's eastern neighbors (since SE Europe borders Asia).
Belarus was never told anything in regards to making migrant camps (unlike Bosnia) and no migrant would think about traveling such a distance all the way to the third (or fourth?) poorest country in Europe.
But either way, if some leftist pro-western politician replaces Lukashenko, then Belarus still won't be getting non-European immigrants. Even many countries part of the EU (such as Latvia or Estonia) much richer than Belarus don't get non-European immigration so I'm not sure why you want to portray this issue as something relevant to Belarus. There are other social issues that are far more important.
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Yesterday Kyiv fell. It looks like Minsk is now under siege. If Minsk falls too; Smolensk and Moskva are set to be next.
Russians obviously have to deal with a Catholic onslaught once every century (see Napoleon and Hitler).
However, it is hard to have Russia fall now.
Russia does not depend on EU that much anymore. In 2019, China has surpassed the EU and has become Russia's main trade partner for the first time.
There is the Anglo sphere factor. Anglo sphere could have taken down Russia in 1990's but did not proceed.
Russia is a strategically important country, having a key role in the balance. If Russian state is gone, the monitoring hammer on the "Central Europeans" (read Catholics) would be gone, it would be too risky for Anglos, not to mention UK got rid of both France (Napoleon) and Germany (Hitler) threats thanks to Russian alliance. Beside, in other regions there would problems too. China would annex anything until Ural mountains, and you would also Wahhabist Jihadi emirates popping up in Northern Caucasus.
We can guess that US and UK would like to see a weak Russia, but not one which is completely gone.
For all these reasons, I think that those protests won't bring anything. If behind doors it is Russia in reality which tries to get rid of Lukashenko, it is another story.
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