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We would have another Anglo country in the south east on current US, stretching from Florida and the Gulf of Mexico to the Ohio River, and from the Atlantic coasts of Georgia, North and South Carolina, and Virginia to Texas. The racial composition would be roughly above 50% white (mostly of British/Irish stock), somewhere between 30-40% of blacks and mulattoes (more concentrated towards the southern parts of this country, while the more north you go, the whiter it would be), and the rest, Latin American descent people. This country would have been for many years like a second version of south Africa in North America.
Current northern US would probably be whiter than today, since the large cities from the north wouldn't have received much immigration of blacks from the south as they did after the civil war.
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If the South had won USA would be Brazil demographics by now lel. After the slave trade was banned in the US in 1808, they just started slave-breeding in lieu of it. The slave ships were coming in until the Civil War started.
The Confederates saw the US as individual countries that worked together with a unified central government to make the general laws, while the Union saw the US only as a large country that had representatives from each state to write and vote in laws.
The South would probably be better off in the short-term without Reconstruction and everything not being burnt to the ground, but it would probably occupy the same position as South Africa as it becomes marginalised by the late 1800's. The North would never have experienced the migration of millions of negroes, and thus would be a decade or two more advanced than they are now.
The Confederates would've gotten cozy with the British while the North would've been closer to the Germans. The Republican party would be a joke and no one in the Yankee states would ever vote for them again. They would probably end up with a balkanized US that wouldn't be anywhere near the superpower status it is today.
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In time as they'd begin industrializing they'd be pushed into a situation where they'd have to seriously rethink slavery, because the institution was being increasingly treated as archaic and brutal in the rest of the world. And unless they closed themselves offs to the rest of the world like north korea they'd come under international pressure and influence. But the issue becomes what to do with the slaves, unlike in other countries, in the south they were viewed as a major demographic threat, they could be gradually deported to Africa, or would be kept as slaves due to the gov being unwilling to deal with the issue, or like it actually happened they'd be freed but given little no rights.
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