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Thread: Stanford/WHO Study: Incorrect COVID19 infection fatality rate

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    Default Stanford/WHO Study: Incorrect COVID19 infection fatality rate

    Publication: Bulletin of the World Health Organization; Type: Research
    Article ID: BLT.20.265892
    Page 1 of 37
    John P A Ioannidis
    Infection fatality rate of COVID-19
    This online first version has been peer-reviewed, accepted and edited,
    but not formatted and finalized with corrections from authors and proofreaders
    Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 inferred from
    seroprevalence data
    John P A Ioannidisa

    Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS), Stanford University, 1265 Welch Road,
    Stanford, California 94305, United States of America.
    Correspondence to John P A Ioannidis (email: jioannid@stanford.edu).
    (Submitted: 13 May 2020 – Revised version received: 13 September 2020 – Accepted: 15 September 2020
    – Published online: 14 October 2020)

    Objective:
    To estimate the infection fatality rate of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)
    from seroprevalence data.

    Methods:
    I searched PubMed and preprint servers for COVID-19 seroprevalence
    studies with a sample size  500 as of 9 September, 2020. I also retrieved additional results
    of national studies from preliminary press releases and reports. I assessed the studies for
    design features and seroprevalence estimates. I estimated the infection fatality rate for
    each study by dividing the number of COVID-19 deaths by the number of people estimated
    to be infected in each region. I corrected for the number of antibody types tested
    (immunoglobin, IgG, IgM, IgA).

    Results:
    I included 61 studies (74 estimates) and eight preliminary national
    estimates. Seroprevalence estimates ranged from 0.02% to 53.40%. Infection fatality rates
    ranged from 0.00% to 1.63%, corrected values from 0.00% to 1.54%. Across 51 locations,
    the median COVID-19 infection fatality rate was 0.27% (corrected 0.23%): the rate was
    0.09% in locations with COVID-19 population mortality rates less than the global average
    (< 118 deaths/million), 0.20% in locations with 118–500 COVID-19 deaths/million people
    and 0.57% in locations with > 500 COVID-19 deaths/million people. In people < 70 years,
    infection fatality rates ranged from 0.00% to 0.31% with crude and corrected medians of
    0.05%.

    Conclusion:
    The infection fatality rate of COVID-19 can vary substantially across
    different locations and this may reflect differences in population age structure and case￾mix of infected and deceased patients and other factors. The inferred infection fatality rates
    tended to be much lower than estimates made earlier in the pandemic.



    Study: https://www.who.int/bulletin/online_....20.265892.pdf

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    Quote Originally Posted by Teutone View Post
    the rate was
    0.09% in locations with COVID-19 population mortality rates less than the global average
    (< 118 deaths/million)
    We destroyed first world economies for this

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    I have covid-19 now and you made me feel better. Thanks

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