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The common Romanian claim states that Romanians originated north of the Danube in modern day Romania. The claim is that the people living in Romania early on were Dacians. And then these Dacians had their land occupied by Romans and subsequently became Romanized in the short span of Roman occupation of Dacia, thus resulting in modern Romanians being mostly Dacians genetically with some Roman ancestry. But this theory makes no sense upon closer analysis. There are many reasons why, I'll list as many as I can below and then debunk some common claims put forth by the people that support the Daco-Roman continuity theory.
Also, for the record, I was a former supporter of this theory and defended it a lot before on this site. I don't have any reason to support or oppose the Daco-Roman continuity theory. I'm just writing about history as I see it from a third person (non-Romanian, non-Hungarian) perspective and am relatively open minded on the issue since this is a departure from a previous opinion I held.
Roman Dacia
The common Romanian claim states that Romanians originated north of the Danube in modern day Romania. The claim is that the people living in Romania early on were Dacians. And then these Dacians had their land occupied by Romans and subsequently became Romanized in the short span of Roman occupation of Dacia, thus resulting in modern Romanians being mostly Dacians genetically with some Roman. But this theory makes no sense upon closer analysis. There are many reasons why, I'll list as many as I can below. Also, for the record, I was a former supporter of this theory and defended it a lot before. I don't have any reason to support or oppose the Daco-Roman continuity theory. I'm just writing about history as I see it from a third person (non-Romanian, non-Hungarian) perspective.
Romanians can't be descended from Romanized Dacians because the Dacians of Roman Dacia were wiped out by the Romans after they occupied the region. The Dacians were a barbarian tribe that the Romans sought to wipe out after they finished their struggle in subduing them. They were seen as barbarian raiders and Dacia would be difficult to control and colonize with the presence of Dacians. So they ethnically cleansed Roman Dacia of Dacians and replaced the population of Roman Dacia with Romans from the rest of the empire.
Source: Eutropius, Abridgement of Roman HistoryVI. After the death of Trajan, Aelius HADRIAN was made emperor, not from any wish to that effect having been expressed by Trajan himself, but through the influence of Plotina, Trajan's wife; for Trajan in his life-time had refused to adopt him, though he was the son of his cousin.41 He also was born at Italica in Spain. Envying Trajan's glory, he immediately gave up three of the provinces which Trajan had added to the empire, withdrawing the armies from Assyria, Mesopotamia, and Armenia, and deciding that the Euphrates should be the boundary of the empire. When he was |510 proceeding, to act similarly with regard to Dacia, his friends dissuaded him, lest many Roman citizens should be left in the hands of the barbarians, because Trajan, after he had subdued Dacia, had transplanted thither an infinite number of men from the whole Roman world, to people the country and the cities; as the land had been exhausted of inhabitants in the long war maintained by Decebalus.
This is later confirmed by the finding of about 3000 personal names from Roman Dacia in 1977. From these, 2000 names are Latin, 420 are Greek, 120 are Illyrian, 70 are Celtic, 70 are Syrian, and a measly 60 are considered to be Dacian. If only a mere 2% of names from Roman Dacia are Dacian, what does that say about the Dacians in the region? Obviously, they got wiped out, which matches what Eutropius said earlier. At most, Romanians are X-Roman, not Daco-Roman ('Dacian' referring exclusively to an ethnicity north of the Danube).
Post-Roman Dacia
Dacia was ruled by Rome for about 165 years (from 106 AD to 271 AD). This is a fairly short time for Romanization of the region. Britain was ruled for more than twice as long, but didn't get Romanized (only did partially in western Britain). And regardless of it did get Romanized, the province was abandoned by the Romans at the end of the third century with no mention of any Romance-speaking population for a whole thousand years while there was mention of other ethnolinguistic groups during that time period. If there was a continuous Romance-speaking population from the Roman conquest of the region up until the next mention of Romance-speakers (13th century), why were they blacked out from all historical record? Isn't 1000 years long enough to document such a presence?
So the question is what happened in that 1000 year period? The Roman withdrawal occurred as a result of constant invasions from "barbarian tribes". They couldn't deal with the barbarian invasions from the mostly Germanic tribes and migrated southwards. The region then ended up being described as mostly Gothic and was called 'Gothia' shortly after the Roman withdrawal from Dacia.
As can be seen from the description above given by the 6th century Gothic historian Jordanes (The Origin and Deeds of the Goths, chapter 11), this 'Gothia' and 'Gepidia' correlate to Dacia. It was called 'Gepidia' in Jordanes' time (Gepids are considered a Gothic tribe), but was called just 'Gothia' before. This name 'Gothia' for the region was used by Orosius, who was from the 4th century (less than a century after Roman withdrawal).When he too had departed from human affairs, Coryllus ascended the throne as king of the Goths and for forty years ruled his people in Dacia. I mean ancient Dacia, which the race of the Gepidae now possess. (74) This country lies across the Danube within sight of Moesia, and is surrounded by a crown of mountains. It has only two ways of access, one by way of the Boutae and the other by the Tapae. This Gothia, which our ancestors called Dacia and now, as I have said, is called Gepidia, was then bounded on the east by the Roxolani, on the west by the Iazyges, on the north by the Sarmatians and Basternae and on the south by the river Danube. The Iazyges are separated from the Roxolani by the Aluta river only.
A map from around two centuries after Rome's loss of Dacia (476 AD) shows Dacia to be Gothic Gepid territory:
All other sources mentioning the demographics of Dacia (modern western Romania) will refer to it as Gothic/Gepid, Slavic, Hunnic, Bulgar, or Cuman (the last one mainly referring Moldova and Wallachia).
In chapter 5 of the same source, Jordanes describes the demographics better and it shows modern Romania to have been a mix of Gepids and Slavs, but mostly Slavic ('Antes', 'Sclaveni', and 'Venethi' are Slavic subgroups):
If you look for maps from his time period (6th century), they will show Romania as being mostly Slavic:In the land of Scythia to the westward dwells, first of all, the race of the Gepidae, surrounded by great and famous rivers. For the Tisia flows through it on the north and northwest, and on the southwest is the great Danube. On the east it is cut by the Flutausis, a swiftly eddying stream that sweeps whirling into the Ister's waters. (34) Within these rivers lies Dacia, encircled by the lofty Alps as by a crown. Near their left ridge, which inclines toward the north, and beginning at the source of the Vistula, the populous race of the Venethi dwell, occupying a great expanse of land. Though their names are now dispersed amid various clans and places, yet they are chiefly called Sclaveni and Antes.
The 7th century Armenian geographer Ananias of Shirak also wrote that the Slavs inhabited the "large country of Dacia" where they comprised of 25 tribes.
Here is a map from 1190 AD showing modern Romania to be either part of Hungary or Cuman (eastern Romania was conquered by Cumans from the 11th-13th centuries), and even Russian in the far north:
Find any medieval (4th-13th century) map of Europe and it will show a similar political makeup of Romania - as a mix of Hungary, Cumania, and Russia with no reference to Vlachs/Latin-speakers. History in this territory is clearly recorded since we know the political makeup of modern day Romania in that time period, Vlachs are completely missing for some reason, a very common and consistent theme in all these sources.
So with these descriptions of Roman Dacia and post-Roman Dacia, I think we can conclude based on multiple sources that Roman Dacia was not inhabited by ethnic Dacians (due to ethnic cleansing done by Romans) and that post-Roman Dacia was not inhabited by Romance-speaking people at any capacity.
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