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Can we say that Russia becomes a strategic shield against the western high-tech war for China? 我们是否能说俄罗斯成为了中国的抵御西方高科技战争的战略之盾?
From what I said earlier that only Russia can afford to fight an all out high-tech war with the west, can we say that China benefits from this war strategically?Not necessarily, it is true that China can not win such an all out conventional war with the west, but it does not equate with the idea that China can benefit from Russia fighting this war. Economically, China is losing huge long term strategic interests as Russia no longer maintains peace dialogue with the west, China could be a powerful leverage for Russia in this dialogue where China can benefit from both parties. Now, with Russia totally sanctioned, it is unwise to economically become much involved with Russia for China, eventually, the supwerpower status quo of Russia will infiltrate China in return. I warned before that Russia is still a superpower, we need to recognize this fact. This Ukrainian War just shows how powerful the western bloc is not that how weak Russia has become, China or any weaker eastern european countries must be careful not to measure Russia using the outcome of this war. This war is not a war any of us can afford to fight therefore this war can not be our measure for Russia.
Is the west so scary? No, it just shows how delicate diplomacy can be. We must be wise as to the delicacy with Russia as with the west, through understanding this delicacy, we can develop our own long term strategic goals too. Through this understanding, we can ensure a safe and prosperous future. Russia is not less scary than the west, especially when we are doped to believe she is weak. She is not weak, and the west is not too much more powerful than Russia, the west has literally exerted all its convention powers onto this war, I say, this is a real WW3. Still do not believe it?
China does not need to fight such a war with the west, the USA knows alone against China, she will lose too. But the whole western bloc is not a right opponent to choose for a war, Russia is the only one which is capable of suffer such pressure. This level of pressure onto any other country in the world, would have shatter it in a few days. Can China totally back down from friendly nicety with Putin? if you want a nuclear war, let China condemn Russia. Conventional hightech war is still the true measure of power, when I see Russia begins to develop their own chips I feel a bit cold in my spine. Truly I have no reserve of trust for Russia`s scope of peace when we already have enough of the USA`s. Russia is too unpredictable for her to be a strategic shield for China, although China can learn a lot from this war about how a regional conventional hightech war could be fought, but still, China can not strategically assume a similar position of Russia in any war. However hard you try, look at the territory of China, in a few days, high precision bombing can halt the whole productions and power grids, also remember the 3 Gorge Dam. We can learn about a regional hightech war not an all out high tech war like this, any future theatre liks this Ukrain War is to be avoided like nuclear warfare. Therefore, considering the danger of using Russia as a leverage, as well the unpracticability of an all out theatre with the west, Russia is not necessarily a shield for China, but still, an indispensible friend for long term security when we can work in a transparent global community.
想象俄罗斯只要拥有近乎韩国的半导体与制造科技就够了,足以令人胆寒。所以,俄罗斯的超级大国地位并不是中 国可以用来当作盾牌使用的,再考虑与西方集团开展传统全面战争的不实际性,这场战争并不是“俄罗斯帮中国挡 枪”的一个局面。“挡枪”思考思考是自我麻痹,应该把这次战争当成一个全面的警钟。我们需要看到的是资本集 团的强大与在这个背景下我们的长远目标的现实意义,然后就是核武威慑已经成为了历史,应该从被核武器或是俄 罗斯保护的迷梦中醒来。无论是外交还是安全,中国必须要独立承担和独立思考。
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