BNP European Elections Broadcast 2009

[Beorn]

[YOUTUBE]4PWBTw40M1E[/YOUTUBE]

Source: BNP

[Pino]

alot better the crap they put out the other week for the English local elections.

Still not half as hard hitting as the old ones though.

[RoyBatty]

We shall overcome

[RoyBatty]

"If diversity were really a strength people would practice it spontaneously. People would flock to it instinctively out of self interest. If diversity was really a strength it wouldn't require constant cheer-leading, and it wouldn't need to be enforced by law."

[Lenny]

What are the prospects for the BNP to get a seat this time?

If I remember correctly, last time they were one-tenth shy of the 5% needed to gain seats

[Beorn]

What are the prospects for the BNP to get a seat this time?

Very high!

There are independent polls out which say the BNP have lost ground in support to the likes of UKIP, but these things are always said in the build up to anything with the BNP involved.

ICM have joined the fray of companies polling on the European elections. Their first poll on the 2009 European elections has topline figures of CON 30%, LAB 24%, LDEM 18%, UKIP 10%, Green 9%, SNP & PC 4%, BNP 1%. It was conducted on May the 20th and 21st.


Overall the poll shows the main parties increasing their support since the last European election, which seems somewhat implausible given the current political events. UKIP are up in double figures, though not to the heights YouGov, BPIX and ComRes have shown and the BNP are down at just 1% - a figure that seems very unlikely. Of the minor parties only the Greens are up on their 2004 performance.
As the Guardian say in their commentary, when compared to their ratings in other polls and the support they received in 2004, it looks as though there is a social desirability bias here resulting in the BNP support being unreported.



Source

[Beorn]

Actually, just saw this and it encapsulates perfectly the rise of the BNP.

Salford - Irwell & Riverside Ward 21.5.09

MOLD Matt Labour 606
MIDDLETON Steven Ian Liberal Democrats 293
TUMULTY Gary British National Party 276
BATES Chris Conservative 189
MITCHELL Rob Green 125
O’DWYER Duran Benjamin UK Independent 123

Apparently, the BNP were the only party to gain ground. The rest either lost ground(Lab) or stayed as they were(UKIP).


It will be interesting to see the results for the June elections.

[The Lawspeaker]

Damn.. those people are right (I am listening to it now): every Briton that hears this should vote BNP.

[chap]

What are the prospects for the BNP to get a seat this time?

If I remember correctly, last time they were one-tenth shy of the 5% needed to gain seats

Likely, they will pick up at least one seat. It would provide financial & logistical support. The New Statesman:

Those who dismiss the BNP fail to appreciate the potential appeal of the modern far right’s fusion of nationalism, xenophobia and economic populism. Our research suggests that roughly one-fifth of white British voters share most or all of the BNP’s views. Most still find it difficult to vote BNP, turned off by the party’s association with extremism, or simply because there is no local BNP candidate to vote for. But even one seat in the European Parliament would provide resources and publicity that could act as a potent catalyst for a party accustomed to operating on a shoestring outside of the media spotlight.

Jean-Marie Le Pen’s Front National (FN) sets a worrying precedent in France. Founded in 1972, the FN was dismissed as a fringe movement for a decade. But after gains in local elections around Paris, the FN achieved a shock success in the 1984 European elections, obtaining ten seats and transforming its electoral prospects. In the next legislative elections, the party increased its vote from 44,000 to 2.7 million, nearly 10 per cent of the vote. It has been a significant force in French politics ever since. Those who dismiss Griffin’s BNP would do well to remember that no one in France took Le Pen seriously in the early 1980s. Twenty years later he was competing with Jacques Chirac for the French presidency.