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Very impressed with your indepth analysis of the region and it's people. I have learned a great deal form reading this post.
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Do you agree with my analysis?
What I think is clear is that there are different regions of Sicily with different looks, though I now would say, a bit different from before, that:
- Messina and Catania look like Cretans and Dodecanese island Greeks -- East Med "Aegean" type looks
- Syracuse, Ragusa, southern Caltanissetta, and the eastern part of Agrigento province look like southern mainland Greeks (Peloponnese?) -- more Dinaric, Alpine, and other Balkan influences
- The western half of Agrigento (Sciacca and whereabouts), inland Caltanssetta, and roughly half of Palermitans look distinctly Levantine/North African/Mesopotamian influenced
- Trapani and the rest of Palermitans look more Western European influenced mixed with Levantine, and less "Mediterranean". Maybe similar to Ashkenazi Jews
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As I understand it, there were migrations from East to the West. I discovered that my family originated from Messina and migrated to Agrigento around 1200 or so. The greeks, who were I guess Byzantines at that time? moved around the island between the different colonies. I'ts hard to tell, but what I have seen in my travels and from my own family that there is a real mix, some red heads, blues eyes light skinned, brown eyes dark skinned, a real mix no matter where you go on the island. I gather it use to be more notable historically but this has likely changed over time. I am by no way an expert, this is just my perspective. That being said, your assessment does seem reasonable based on where the inhabitants likely originated from. When I go back to Sicily I will definitely be paying closer attention.
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There are many phenotypical similarities between Southern Italians in general, and Greek. For the most part It is difficult for me to distinguish that much of a difference but for the most I would say there tend to be more Greeks with lighter skin then Southern Italians. And as far as I can tell there is no way to tell the difference between southern Italians for example, someone from Calabria, Sicily or Naples. From Naples south the genetic makeup of these people are very similar. I challenge anyone to pick out a person from Calabri, or Sicily from a group of Southern Italians you can't we look the same.
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I think you tend to over-estimate the non-European component. Most Sicilians look European and as such, they would fit FAR better as Romanian than Tunisian.
Take this casting from central Sicily:
^ They could easily be Bulgarian. Only two would pass unnoticed in Tunisia, while pretty much all the rest would be assumed as tourists.
Teenagers from Enna:
^ Once again, looking very Italian, but passing all across (Southern) Europe
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Tunisia might not be the best point of comparison as many of them have SSA input and more Cromagnid influence. But I can say confidently that Sicily has the highest post-Neolithic West Asian input and the lowest NE Euro/Baltic element in Europe for the most part.
My phenotype is not exotic for the island (you've seen me) and I am perceived as Middle Eastern but that might just be American ignorance. On dating apps, I get asked at least once a week if I am "Arabic" because some guy wants to know about my ancestry from my photo.
Of the women you posted, they probably fit best in the Aegean like in Kalymnos or Rhodes but I do think a number of them could pass as Armenian, Assyrian, and Lebanese, at least better than as Tunisian. If Romanians look like that, they have more West Asian input than I would have assumed. The difference between Sicilians and mainland Greeks is the NE European/BaltoSlavic input I think.
The phenotypes that could pass in Tunisia would be more likely found in western Sicily, not in Enna (see the last part of the Trapani photos, there are 4 men who IMO do look North African and I said that in the post). In fact, a y-dna study found that the people in Enna largely have Balkan y-dna, most likely from Greece.
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