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imo, by the time Slavs arrived, the Mycenaean cluster probably didn't exist anymore, especially in the northern part of the Balkans.
They give a good fit for Serbs, but then the Slavic gets overestimated:
The Serb average gets modelled like this too.
something like MJ12 is more realistic for our pre-Slavic population. Maybe not closely related to it, but a similar overall autosomal mix.
These are the G25 samples which represent what could've been in the balkans when the Slavs arrived, in my opinion:
Interestingly, all of the Balkan IA samples still plot within the range of Roman/Early Medieval samples. The BA Balkan samples are different though, I didn't add them.Code:Balkan_IA_Roman:BGR_IA_I5769,0.126344,0.157407,0.007165,-0.051034,0.029852,-0.02259,0.00423,-0.001385,0.007772,0.032074,-0.001461,0.005695,-0.013974,-0.003028,-0.015065,-0.001458,0.01369,0.006968,0.006285,-0.014757,-0.006239,0.004699,-0.007888,0.003494,-0.008861 Balkan_IA_Roman:DEU_MA_ACD_NW_54,0.129758,0.141159,0.024136,-0.000646,0.032929,-0.004183,0.009635,-0.005077,0.016771,0.015855,0.00747,0.002398,-0.011893,0.010872,-0.005836,-0.01127,-0.002999,0.003927,0.016215,-0.014757,-0.000624,0.011994,0.00912,0.002771,0.00467 Balkan_IA_Roman:DEU_MA_ACD_STR_310,0.111547,0.13405,0.02489,0.00323,0.011694,-0.006136,0.00611,0.006,-0.001432,0.012028,0.000812,0.007044,-0.011744,-0.008257,-0.008415,-0.00411,0.009909,-0.006588,-0.001508,0.006753,-0.000374,0.001855,0.000493,-0.003735,-0.00479 Balkan_IA_Roman:DEU_MA_Alemanic_Byzantine_NIEcap3b,0.124067,0.139128,0.026776,-0.007752,0.016926,-0.005857,0.00329,-0.000462,0.001841,0.015672,0.002598,0.007493,-0.011447,0.003028,-0.003936,-0.012331,-0.008866,0.002027,0.010307,-5e-04,-0.011729,0.002844,-0.002342,0.000964,-0.002994 Balkan_IA_Roman:DEU_MA_Alemanic_Byzantine_NIEcap3c,0.10927,0.152329,0.019987,-0.020672,0.022158,-0.006972,-0.00235,-0.002769,0.012885,0.032802,-0.002436,3e-04,-0.014866,0.000826,-0.000679,-0.004641,-0.000391,-0.005448,0.005154,0.000375,-0.00025,0.003833,-0.000986,0.010724,-0.00491 Balkan_IA_Roman:DEU_MA_o_STR_300,0.125205,0.165531,-0.001886,-0.05491,0.024004,-0.015339,0.009165,0.010384,0.003681,0.029887,0.00341,-0.000599,-0.009663,-0.006331,-0.029044,-0.005304,0.002868,-0.004814,-0.002765,-0.016758,-0.007237,0.009645,0.008381,0.00253,-0.004191 Balkan_IA_Roman:HRV_IA_I3313,0.132035,0.151314,0.033941,-0.01615,0.024928,-0.005857,-0.006345,0.007154,0.003681,0.028976,0.001786,0.01169,-0.02111,-0.001376,-0.005972,-0.008486,-0.006519,0.004941,0.005531,-0.014257,-0.001872,0.00507,0.001479,0.00253,0.003353 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_o1_SZ19,0.120652,0.167562,0.012822,-0.045866,0.035391,-0.022869,-0.00047,-0.000923,0.001023,0.045559,0.007145,0.01079,-0.013528,0.007844,-0.014115,-0.018297,-0.003129,0.003421,0.008547,-0.016258,-0.010232,0.003462,0.005793,0.007832,0.001317 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_SZ28,0.124067,0.148267,0.029793,-0.008075,0.032006,-0.006972,0.00047,-0.003461,0.015339,0.032074,-0.004547,0.007493,-0.014569,0.002064,-0.005293,0.000928,0.006389,0.00266,0.006662,-0.004627,0.004742,0.002226,-0.005176,-0.00494,-0.001557 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_SZ32,0.111547,0.157407,0.015085,-0.024871,0.026466,-0.015618,0.00141,-0.002308,0.005727,0.019135,0.002598,0.001798,-0.011298,-0.008808,-0.004072,0.002784,0.003651,0.001014,-0.000126,-0.002001,-0.006239,0.000495,0.00456,-0.01458,-0.001916 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_SZ36,0.117238,0.148267,0.011691,-0.025517,0.028313,-0.010319,0.003525,0.006923,0.00225,0.02041,0.003085,-0.000599,-0.009663,-0.004679,-0.001357,0.005834,0.00326,-0.000887,0.000377,0.001501,-0.008111,0.004451,0.006779,0.001566,-0.000479 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_SZ37,0.118376,0.139128,0.014708,-0.012597,0.01231,-0.006414,-0.004935,0.011769,0.004704,0.013121,-0.003735,0.004796,-0.013379,-0.001514,-0.008143,-0.00053,-0.00326,-0.005574,0.01257,-0.002626,-0.006738,0.006306,-0.000246,0.001807,-0.006706 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_SZ40,0.108132,0.149283,0.00264,-0.037791,0.018157,-0.010598,0.00094,-0.014538,0.003477,0.026789,-0.002436,0.008243,-0.007582,-0.008945,-0.00285,0.005304,0.020731,-0.003927,-0.000377,0.000375,-0.011355,0.00507,0.002218,0.00482,-0.005149 Balkan_IA_Roman:HUN_MA_Szolad_SZ43,0.122929,0.145221,0.01697,-0.019057,0.030775,-0.01506,-0.004465,-0.004154,0.009613,0.020775,0.002436,0.005545,-0.011596,-0.007019,0.00095,-0.006364,0.011343,0.000507,0.005656,-0.00075,-0.006239,0.000989,0.004314,0.006145,-0.001078 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Collegno_MA_CL121,0.108132,0.152329,0.000754,-0.036822,0.019388,-0.022032,0.000235,-0.003692,0.000205,0.028793,-0.005846,0.01109,-0.011447,0.00055,0.000814,-0.006762,-0.009257,0.004814,-0.003394,-0.01013,-0.004991,0.003091,0.004437,0.00241,-0.007664 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Collegno_MA_CL23,0.114961,0.142174,0.026776,-0.008398,0.02462,0.000558,-0.00282,-0.006231,0.011249,0.017495,-0.001949,0.006594,-0.01442,-0.010322,0.000543,-0.009679,-0.018254,-0.002534,0.005405,-0.01088,0.000125,-0.000371,0.001232,0.004458,-0.000958 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Collegno_MA_CL36,0.117238,0.150298,0.025267,-0.018088,0.027082,-0.006414,-0.00658,-0.010384,0.004704,0.0277,0.00065,0.001349,-0.016353,-0.002615,-0.003122,-0.009149,-0.018515,0.000253,0.005531,-0.003627,0.004866,0,0.003204,0.002892,0.005029 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Collegno_MA_o1_CL25,0.105855,0.151314,-0.029415,-0.052972,0.001846,-0.015897,-0.00282,-0.004615,0.001227,0.016583,0.006496,0.007643,-0.010258,0.004266,-0.004343,-0.004243,0.009518,-0.006081,0.011187,0.002126,-0.004492,0.009398,0.001479,-0.002048,0 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Collegno_MA_o1_CL30,0.113823,0.150298,-0.026398,-0.056848,0.008001,-0.015897,0.005875,0.001846,0.006136,0.015308,0.010068,0.000599,-0.004757,0.003303,-0.0019,0.000133,0.005085,0.002787,0.004525,-0.001251,-0.001248,-0.008903,0.009983,-0.00253,-0.003233 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Collegno_MA_o1_CL38,0.101303,0.144205,-0.018856,-0.055556,0.007386,-0.016455,-0.00846,-0.008538,-0.004704,0.014397,0.004709,0.009591,-0.00996,-0.005643,-0.014251,0.000928,0.010561,0,-0.002263,0.001251,0.001123,0.006306,-0.002095,0.010001,0.008023 Balkan_IA_Roman:ITA_Proto-Villanovan:RMPR1,0.125205,0.138112,0.030547,-0.010982,0.023081,-0.011713,0.002115,-0.001846,0.006954,0.021139,0.008119,0.005845,-0.011596,-0.000826,-0.007465,-0.01432,-0.011604,0.005194,0.002765,-0.00988,-0.009733,0.001607,-0.002465,0.003976,-0.005508 Balkan_IA_Roman:Scythian_MDA_scy192,0.124067,0.137096,0.015462,-0.020026,0.015695,-0.012829,0.00235,0.000692,0.001023,0.025878,0.009419,-0.000599,-0.006987,-0.008945,-0.013301,-0.009679,0.012908,0.004307,-0.000377,0.003502,-0.011729,0.009892,-0.004314,-0.004338,0.001796 Balkan_IA_Roman:Scythian_MDA_scy197,0.122929,0.140143,0.029415,-0.023902,0.023081,-0.012829,0.015511,-0.005307,0.00225,0.035172,-0.005846,-0.001349,-0.01115,0.000275,-0.010586,-0.0118,0.001434,-0.000127,0.013324,-0.010255,-0.004742,-0.000989,0.003328,-0.002771,-0.008981 Balkan_IA_Roman:Scythian_MDA_scy300,0.1161,0.140143,0.025644,-0.031331,0.016618,-0.005299,-0.001645,-0.007384,0.007772,0.033531,0.006983,0.006744,-0.00446,-0.000963,-0.0095,0.002254,-0.000782,0.004561,0.012318,-0.006503,-0.004118,0.012489,-0.00037,-0.000723,0.010298 Balkan_IA_Roman:Scythian_MDA_scy305,0.118376,0.126941,0.010936,-0.014212,0.017849,-0.006693,-0.001175,-0.001154,0.00225,0.022415,-0.003897,0.007343,-0.013974,0.008257,-0.010179,0.000663,-0.005476,0.004181,0.016341,-0.008254,-0.009234,0.005812,-0.007395,0.007471,0.002754 Balkan_IA_Roman:UKR_Cimmerian_o_MJ12,0.135449,0.138112,0.015462,-0.012274,0.020927,-0.008088,0.00235,-0.007384,-0.006545,0.034625,0.000487,0.008542,-0.008325,-0.008533,-0.014522,0.005171,0.025946,-0.000127,0.011439,0.005878,-0.019091,0.007666,0.004067,0.011929,-0.000239 Greek_Dodecanese:664,0.106994,0.145221,-0.02489,-0.054587,0.002154,-0.02259,0.00423,-0.004384,-0.002863,0.019499,0.00341,0.002548,-0.002676,-0.005092,-0.016694,-0.00305,0.010952,0.007095,0.003142,-0.004377,0.00025,-0.004328,-0.004437,-0.006627,0.003233 Greek_Dodecanese:665,0.101303,0.15436,-0.033564,-0.064277,0.005232,-0.022869,0.00752,-0.006,0.001023,0.017495,0.005521,0.002098,-0.004311,-0.000413,-0.010722,-0.013657,-0.010431,0.006461,0.007919,-0.003126,-0.010357,0.010016,-0.001725,0.003976,-0.01916 Greek_Dodecanese:666,0.104717,0.140143,-0.032432,-0.072029,0.000308,-0.026216,-0.002115,-0.007615,-0.011862,0.015855,0.005846,0.004946,-0.004906,-0.008533,-0.012486,0.01127,0.021122,0.004687,-0.000377,-0.001251,0.003743,0.00136,-0.003697,-0.003856,0.004431 Greek_Dodecanese:667,0.110408,0.157407,-0.023759,-0.065246,-0.003077,-0.01757,0.00423,-0.002538,0.007158,0.016401,0,0.007343,0.002379,0.006055,-0.013843,-0.008353,-0.014473,0.007221,0.006159,-0.003001,-0.008859,-0.004328,0.005176,0.001807,-0.008622 Greek_Dodecanese:668,0.104717,0.149283,-0.021119,-0.062662,0.005232,-0.026216,0.006815,0.003231,-0.001432,0.016583,0.010555,-0.002548,-0.004757,0.005918,-0.016422,-0.003315,-0.001173,0.001774,0.00993,-0.003752,-0.010731,-0.007543,0.003204,0.002892,-0.001676 Greek_Dodecanese:669,0.104717,0.144205,-0.023004,-0.056202,0,-0.012829,0.00752,-0.005538,0.001227,0.011116,0.00341,-0.001349,-0.002676,-0.007432,-0.008143,-0.00053,0.008084,0.008361,0.006411,-0.005253,-0.008735,-0.002968,0.003574,0.013255,0.000479 Greek_Dodecanese:670,0.105855,0.142174,-0.029415,-0.045866,0.006155,-0.008088,-0.003055,-0.009,-0.001227,0.015855,0.012991,-3e-04,-0.004014,0.009496,-0.011536,0.00305,0.002217,0.003547,0.003017,-0.011881,-0.000374,0.00779,-0.004314,-0.005061,-0.006586 Greek_Dodecanese:671,0.10927,0.141159,-0.015462,-0.042636,0.004616,-0.018128,-0.00282,-0.007384,-0.006954,0.016219,0.003735,0.001649,-0.006987,-0.002615,-0.0057,0.005569,-0.005085,-0.000253,0.015084,-0.005002,0.001248,-0.002968,0.006039,-0.013375,-0.003113 Greek_Dodecanese:672,0.101303,0.148267,-0.025644,-0.068153,0.000308,-0.019801,0.011516,-0.001846,-0.007567,0.019681,0,0.003597,-0.006541,0.004679,-0.007872,0.001724,0.011083,0.008995,0.004651,-0.006628,-0.001123,-0.008285,0.001232,0.006507,0.002994 Greek_Dodecanese:673,0.110408,0.139128,-0.015085,-0.035853,0.000923,-0.009482,0.00423,-0.001154,-0.005522,0.017859,0.002598,0.002698,-0.010406,-0.007707,-0.020087,-0.005436,0.010691,0.00228,0.002765,-0.003252,-0.008111,0.001607,-0.001602,-0.008194,-0.006107 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos1,0.104717,0.148267,-0.021119,-0.055556,0.007078,-0.019801,-0.002585,-0.002538,-0.004909,0.021504,0.00406,0.002398,-0.005649,0.006744,-0.010043,-0.013922,-0.006519,0.003041,0.001006,-0.010505,-0.004617,0.000742,-0.002711,-0.011568,-0.005269 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos10,0.10927,0.150298,-0.02753,-0.044897,-0.006463,-0.020917,0.004935,-0.002538,-0.009613,0.016766,0.003735,0.004496,-0.001784,0.001789,-0.007872,0.002254,0.010431,0.001647,0.008296,-0.007379,-0.002121,0.003215,-0.004067,-0.001325,-0.003952 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos2,0.106994,0.146236,-0.01961,-0.057171,0.003693,-0.018965,0.004465,0,-0.000818,0.014761,0.004709,-0.002398,-0.003271,-0.004404,-0.015879,0.013126,0.019297,0,0.003771,0.007879,-0.002745,0.004081,0.004807,0.005663,-0.003832 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos4,0.106994,0.146236,-0.029038,-0.053941,0.002154,-0.01255,0.00141,-0.003692,-0.003272,0.009659,0.005684,0.003597,-0.002676,0.003716,-0.0095,0.001724,0.005476,-0.00152,-0.000754,-0.005628,-0.000873,-0.002968,-0.003328,-0.005302,-0.003473 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos5,0.10927,0.142174,-0.01961,-0.055233,0.012002,-0.016455,0.000235,-0.002077,-0.004295,0.020957,0.001949,0.004046,-0.004757,0.004404,-0.010586,0.005436,0.005737,0.004181,0.00905,-0.005503,-0.004742,0.002102,-0.001602,-0.001566,0.005868 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos6,0.111547,0.144205,-0.017348,-0.052326,0.002462,-0.016455,-0.003525,-0.00923,-0.002659,0.013668,0.002598,0.002098,-0.003568,-0.001789,-0.005836,0.010872,0.021644,0.002154,0.00352,-0.001501,0,0.003215,0.004807,0.001566,-0.004431 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos7,0.108132,0.145221,-0.020365,-0.053295,0.006155,-0.020917,-0.00188,-0.002308,-0.00859,0.019317,0.003735,0.003897,-0.000743,0.003991,-0.011265,-0.009016,-0.010822,0.00152,0.005028,-0.004627,-0.006239,0.006183,0.002835,-0.004338,0.001437 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos8,0.102441,0.144205,-0.02225,-0.059755,0.000615,-0.017291,0.003525,-0.006,-0.011249,0.019135,-0.001137,0.005245,-0.01219,-0.003991,-0.010722,0.005701,0.019427,-0.002027,0.004399,-0.007253,-0.005366,0.001607,-0.003697,0.001928,-0.00491 Greek_Kos:GreeceKos9,0.10927,0.151314,-0.021496,-0.052649,0.009232,-0.020917,0.001175,-0.004846,-0.00859,0.015308,-0.001461,0.004946,-0.000595,-0.001789,-0.013708,0.01074,0.025425,-0.000507,-0.00088,0.001751,-0.007612,-0.003091,0.001356,0.002289,-0.000479
I added the Dodecanese Greeks because something like them must've existed too. They are necessary for modelling the eastern Balkans (Bulgarians, Gagauz)
Last edited by vbnetkhio; 03-22-2021 at 09:59 AM.
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Ofcourse not. If they looked pre-Slavic, they would resemble south-central Italians which is not the case. They look exactly like their genetics, because admixture between Ukrainian and south Italian will come out dark.
It would be appreciated if you left your mentally retarded comments and obsession with Balkans elsewhere, chink.
Russian average, who you seem to have great obsession with, is similary Slavic as Serb one but instead of mediterranean admixture it has lot of Baltic and Finnic blood (which ofcourse lightened Russian phenotypes).
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Agree.
Agree with this as well. Bronze age Balkan profiles don't seem to give a good fit when modeling south Slavs, so I doubt such genetics existed when Slavs arrived. They are better to model Hungarians and Slovenians than SE Euros, probably because they had Celtic like admixture which remained present in Noricum and Panonnia. For west Balkan ancient population should have looked like Marche and Molise, as you move towards central Balkans Lazio and in the east something very southern like Dodecanese or Cretan is needed indeed (perhaps result of Black sea Greek colonisation, or southern Balkan migrations)Interestingly, all of the Balkan IA samples still plot within the range of Roman/Early Medieval samples. The BA Balkan samples are different though, I didn't add them.
I added the Dodecanese Greeks because something like them must've existed too. They are necessary for modelling the eastern Balkans (Bulgarians, Gagauz)
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No they don't. You just used too northern samples to model early Slavs (Baltic + Nordic IA), so algorithm compensated with adding something southern.
Your model is very nonsense btw. Sunghir can be modeled as Belarussian + 10% south Euro and that's exactly in range of early Slavs.
Trying to prove ancient sample from deep Russia which is genetically Ukrainian like and has as much relations with Balkans as with Africa has Paleo-Balkan admixture is ridiculous.
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Baltic IA is closest to modern Estonians and ofcourse early Slavs were nothing like that. So no suprise Sunghir scored some Thracian to compensate in your shitty model.
Distance to: Baltic_EST_IA
0.02843465 Estonian
0.03216440 Latvian
0.03471466 Lithuanian_SZ
0.03776399 Lithuanian_VA
0.03796118 Lithuanian_RA
0.03838297 Lithuanian_PZ
0.03906274 Ingrian
0.04060499 Lithuanian_VZ
0.04110626 Lithuanian_PA
0.04114991 Russian_Tver
0.04443260 Karelian
0.04519660 Finnish
0.04686320 Russian_Kostroma
0.04754756 Belarusian
0.04804692 Cossack_Kuban
0.04830574 Russian_Kursk
0.04896203 Finnish_East
0.04936259 Vepsian
0.05115425 Russian_Orel
0.05130676 Russian_Voronez
0.05164957 Russian_Smolensk
0.05395133 Cossack_Ukrainian
0.05484337 Mordovian
0.05694939 Ukrainian
0.05835485 Russian_Pinega
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For Serbs "northern" autosomal dna (Slavic + Germanic) is 60.8%
It's almost identical as I2 (39.2%) + R1a (14.1%) + I1 (8.1%) = 61.4% for ethnic Serbs on the sample of 2086 (source https://www.poreklo.rs/2019/06/y-dna...-ethnic-serbs/
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Last edited by Varda; 03-23-2021 at 07:54 AM.
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