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I do. That is why what you say is so clearly a conjecture. No government or institution is going to take an official position before the event itself has taken place.
When so many economists have different stances on this, often contradictory, and the wisest end up saying that everything is possible, well, your "basic understanding" of economics is basically irrelevant to me.
Catalans have been a nation for centuries. What we nowadays have not, yet, is a sovereign country in which to simply live fully as what we are, Catalans.
Why not? Why should we be different from the rest? Every nation has its own myths and its own vision of History.
Sure, one day I might even dare reach your 'basic understanding' of it.
I'm only saying that if there are no agreements, there is no shared debt. So it'd actually be better for both parts to eventually reach one.
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