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Thread: Dodecad k12b south, west and central asian results

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    Quote Originally Posted by Babak View Post
    Here's something


    I just now watched the video. And it is not really good. I am not aware of any Achaeamenid sample. The guy is presenting some medievil Iranian sample as Achaeamenid. And the worst part is he is trying to explain the ancestry of Achaeamenids with recent proxy such as BedouinB. It's not like Achaeamenids had real Bedouin ancestry.

    Also his explanation of the results are very bad. Some sample picking Hurrian over Achaeamenid doesn't mean they are of Hurrian origin. It simply means the target population prefers a population that resembles the Hurrians more than Achaeamenids. That could be very much Medes for all we know.
    In fact how could you make a Hurrian vs Achaeamenid comparison to begin with. Both from very different timeframes. Hurrians from a Bronze Age vs Achaeamenids from the Iron Age doesn't work.

    Hurrian related populations played a role in the building of the Achaeamenids. As he correctly pointed out the very big genetic correlation.

    The video spreds too much missinformations for my taste. It will make some people believe, that some Iranics are descend of Hurrians while other descend from Achaeamenids. While in reality all have varying amounts of Hurrian related ancestry even if they are descend from Achaemenids, because Hurrians are so old that they qualify as source population for the Achaeamenids themselves.
    Last edited by Demhat; 04-20-2020 at 02:10 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Demhat View Post
    I just now watched the video. And it is not really good. I am not aware of any Achaeamenid sample. The guy is presenting some medievil Iranian sample as Achaeamenid. And the worst part is he is trying to explain the ancestry of Achaeamenids with recent proxy such as BedouinB. It's not like Achaeamenids had real Bedouin ancestry.

    Also his explanation of the results are very bad. Some sample picking Hurrian over Achaeamenid doesn't mean they are of Hurrian origin. It simply means the target population prefers a population that resembles the Hurrians more than Achaeamenids. That could be very much Medes for all we know.
    In fact how could you make a Hurrian vs Achaeamenid comparison to begin with. Both from very different timeframes. Hurrians from a Bronze Age vs Achaeamenids from the Iron Age doesn't work.

    Hurrian related populations played a role in the building of the Achaeamenids. As he correctly pointed out the very big genetic correlation.

    The video spreds too much missinformations for my taste. It will make some people, that some Iranians are descend of Hurrians while other descend from Achaeamenids. While in reality all have varying amounts of Hurrian ancestry even if they are descend from Achaemenids, because Hurrians are so old that they qualify as source population for the Achaeamenids themselves.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Demhat View Post
    I just now watched the video. And it is not really good. I am not aware of any Achaeamenid sample. The guy is presenting some medievil Iranian sample as Achaeamenid. And the worst part is he is trying to explain the ancestry of Achaeamenids with recent proxy such as BedouinB. It's not like Achaeamenids had real Bedouin ancestry.

    Also his explanation of the results are very bad. Some sample picking Hurrian over Achaeamenid doesn't mean they are of Hurrian origin. It simply means the target population prefers a population that resembles the Hurrians more than Achaeamenids. That could be very much Medes for all we know.
    In fact how could you make a Hurrian vs Achaeamenid comparison to begin with. Both from very different timeframes. Hurrians from a Bronze Age vs Achaeamenids from the Iron Age doesn't work.

    Hurrian related populations played a role in the building of the Achaeamenids. As he correctly pointed out the very big genetic correlation.

    The video spreds too much missinformations for my taste. It will make some people, that some Iranians are descend of Hurrians while other descend from Achaeamenids. While in reality all have varying amounts of Hurrian ancestry even if they are descend from Achaemenids, because Hurrians are so old that they qualify as source population for the Achaeamenids themselves.
    Totally agree. I wouldn't call him an idiot. Clearly he's not a scientist if he's relying exclusively on G25. I would just call him a misinformed amateur who doesn't understand the issues with Davidski's G25.

    The Hurrian he's referring to I think is Haji-Firuz-IA ! and the the Archemenid I believe is Hasanlu-IA. Clearly the G25 is giving totally off results. Davidski's G25 is a mish mosh of modern and ancient samples. Obviously the moderns he has in the run to generate coordinates are having all sorts of effects on the test samples.

    Anyways if he was a scientist he would use qpAdm and if he had he would have seen the following for Haji-Firuz-IA (courtesy EurasianDNA)

    numthreads: 8
    ## qpAdm version: 634
    seed: 1295334595

    left pops:
    Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz
    Iran_C_HajjiFiruz
    Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG

    right pops:
    Mbuti.DG
    Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG
    Onge_1000G
    Russia_MA1_HG.SG
    Chinese_Han_1000G
    Karitiana.DG
    Anatolia_N

    0 Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz 1
    1 Iran_C_HajjiFiruz 4
    2 Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 2
    3 Mbuti.DG 4
    4 Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 1
    5 Onge_1000G 6
    6 Russia_MA1_HG.SG 1
    7 Chinese_Han_1000G 211
    8 Karitiana.DG 3
    9 Anatolia_N 29
    jackknife block size: 0.050
    snps: 709309 indivs: 262
    number of blocks for block jackknife: 711
    ## ncols: 709309
    coverage: Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz 292807
    coverage: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz 624648
    coverage: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 474638
    coverage: Mbuti.DG 690580
    coverage: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 654138
    coverage: Onge_1000G 704593
    coverage: Russia_MA1_HG.SG 493659
    coverage: Chinese_Han_1000G 709306
    coverage: Karitiana.DG 690550
    coverage: Anatolia_N 709269
    dof (jackknife): 639.251
    numsnps used: 155390
    codimension 1
    f4info:
    f4rank: 1 dof: 5 chisq: 2.444 tail: 0.784873416 dofdiff: 7 chisqdiff: -2.444 taildiff: 1
    B:
    scale 1.000
    Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 0.201
    Onge_1000G 0.337
    Russia_MA1_HG.SG 1.217
    Chinese_Han_1000G 0.919
    Karitiana.DG 1.512
    Anatolia_N -1.111
    A:
    scale 723.320
    Iran_C_HajjiFiruz -0.613
    Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 1.274


    full rank
    f4info:
    f4rank: 2 dof: 0 chisq: 0.000 tail: 1 dofdiff: 5 chisqdiff: 2.444 taildiff: 0.784873416
    B:
    scale 1.000 1.000
    Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 0.200 0.200
    Onge_1000G 0.330 0.790
    Russia_MA1_HG.SG 1.203 -0.685
    Chinese_Han_1000G 0.901 1.264
    Karitiana.DG 1.520 -0.226
    Anatolia_N -1.132 1.794
    A:
    scale 746.734 3511.876
    Iran_C_HajjiFiruz -0.755 -1.065
    Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 1.196 -0.931


    best coefficients: 0.675 0.325
    Jackknife mean: 0.675276889 0.324723111
    std. errors: 0.069 0.069


    error covariance (* 1000000)
    4774 -4774
    -4774 4774


    summ: Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz 2 0.784873 0.675 0.325 4774 -4774 4774

    fixed pat wt dof chisq tail prob
    00 0 5 2.444 0.784873 0.675 0.325
    01 1 6 22.856 0.000846255 1.000 0.000
    10 1 6 69.650 4.82473e-13 0.000 1.000
    best pat: 00 0.784873 - -
    best pat: 01 0.000846255 chi(nested): 20.412 p-value for nested model: 6.24515e-06

    coeffs: 0.675 0.325

    ## dscore:: f_4(Base, Fit, Rbase, right2)
    ## genstat:: f_4(Base, Fit, right1, right2)

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG -0.000306 -0.488565
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 0.000229 0.320063
    dscore: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG f4: -0.000132 Z: -0.221248

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Onge_1000G -0.000616 -1.068608
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Onge_1000G 0.000281 0.433744
    dscore: Onge_1000G f4: -0.000325 Z: -0.594148

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Russia_MA1_HG.SG -0.001029 -1.356903
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Russia_MA1_HG.SG 0.002090 2.335904
    dscore: Russia_MA1_HG.SG f4: -0.000015 Z: -0.020790

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Chinese_Han_1000G -0.001319 -2.756043
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Chinese_Han_1000G 0.001087 1.983415
    dscore: Chinese_Han_1000G f4: -0.000538 Z: -1.181505

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Karitiana.DG -0.001515 -2.368054
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Karitiana.DG 0.002453 3.290047
    dscore: Karitiana.DG f4: -0.000225 Z: -0.364006

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Anatolia_N 0.000570 1.157302
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Anatolia_N -0.002317 -4.105960
    dscore: Anatolia_N f4: -0.000368 Z: -0.780912

    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG -0.221
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Onge_1000G -0.594
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Russia_MA1_HG.SG -0.021
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Chinese_Han_1000G -1.182
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Karitiana.DG -0.364
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Anatolia_N -0.781
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Onge_1000G -0.326
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Russia_MA1_HG.SG 0.154
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Chinese_Han_1000G -0.792
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Karitiana.DG -0.147
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Anatolia_N -0.431
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Russia_MA1_HG.SG 0.409
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Chinese_Han_1000G -0.514
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Karitiana.DG 0.180
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Anatolia_N -0.087
    gendstat: Russia_MA1_HG.SG Chinese_Han_1000G -0.785
    gendstat: Russia_MA1_HG.SG Karitiana.DG -0.294
    gendstat: Russia_MA1_HG.SG Anatolia_N -0.507
    gendstat: Chinese_Han_1000G Karitiana.DG 0.748
    gendstat: Chinese_Han_1000G Anatolia_N 0.421
    gendstat: Karitiana.DG Anatolia_N -0.266

    ## end of run



    So what the G25 shows is irrelevant. Haji-Firuz-IA is actually 67.5% Iran-Chl + 32.5% Central Asian Sarmatian related with a p-value of 0.78 (excellent p-value, model passing p-values used in scientific papers is 0.05)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Zoro View Post
    Totally agree. I wouldn't call him an idiot. Clearly he's not a scientist if he's relying exclusively on G25. I would just call him a misinformed amateur who doesn't understand the issues with Davidski's G25.

    The Hurrian he's referring to I think is Haji-Firuz-IA ! and the the Archemenid I believe is Hasanlu-IA. Clearly the G25 is giving totally off results. Davidski's G25 is a mish mosh of modern and ancient samples. Obviously the moderns he has in the run to generate coordinates are having all sorts of effects on the test samples.

    Anyways if he was a scientist he would use qpAdm and if he had he would have seen the following for Haji-Firuz-IA (courtesy EurasianDNA)

    numthreads: 8
    ## qpAdm version: 634
    seed: 1295334595

    left pops:
    Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz
    Iran_C_HajjiFiruz
    Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG

    right pops:
    Mbuti.DG
    Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG
    Onge_1000G
    Russia_MA1_HG.SG
    Chinese_Han_1000G
    Karitiana.DG
    Anatolia_N

    0 Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz 1
    1 Iran_C_HajjiFiruz 4
    2 Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 2
    3 Mbuti.DG 4
    4 Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 1
    5 Onge_1000G 6
    6 Russia_MA1_HG.SG 1
    7 Chinese_Han_1000G 211
    8 Karitiana.DG 3
    9 Anatolia_N 29
    jackknife block size: 0.050
    snps: 709309 indivs: 262
    number of blocks for block jackknife: 711
    ## ncols: 709309
    coverage: Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz 292807
    coverage: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz 624648
    coverage: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 474638
    coverage: Mbuti.DG 690580
    coverage: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 654138
    coverage: Onge_1000G 704593
    coverage: Russia_MA1_HG.SG 493659
    coverage: Chinese_Han_1000G 709306
    coverage: Karitiana.DG 690550
    coverage: Anatolia_N 709269
    dof (jackknife): 639.251
    numsnps used: 155390
    codimension 1
    f4info:
    f4rank: 1 dof: 5 chisq: 2.444 tail: 0.784873416 dofdiff: 7 chisqdiff: -2.444 taildiff: 1
    B:
    scale 1.000
    Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 0.201
    Onge_1000G 0.337
    Russia_MA1_HG.SG 1.217
    Chinese_Han_1000G 0.919
    Karitiana.DG 1.512
    Anatolia_N -1.111
    A:
    scale 723.320
    Iran_C_HajjiFiruz -0.613
    Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 1.274


    full rank
    f4info:
    f4rank: 2 dof: 0 chisq: 0.000 tail: 1 dofdiff: 5 chisqdiff: 2.444 taildiff: 0.784873416
    B:
    scale 1.000 1.000
    Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 0.200 0.200
    Onge_1000G 0.330 0.790
    Russia_MA1_HG.SG 1.203 -0.685
    Chinese_Han_1000G 0.901 1.264
    Karitiana.DG 1.520 -0.226
    Anatolia_N -1.132 1.794
    A:
    scale 746.734 3511.876
    Iran_C_HajjiFiruz -0.755 -1.065
    Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG 1.196 -0.931


    best coefficients: 0.675 0.325
    Jackknife mean: 0.675276889 0.324723111
    std. errors: 0.069 0.069


    error covariance (* 1000000)
    4774 -4774
    -4774 4774


    summ: Iran_IA_HajjiFiruz 2 0.784873 0.675 0.325 4774 -4774 4774

    fixed pat wt dof chisq tail prob
    00 0 5 2.444 0.784873 0.675 0.325
    01 1 6 22.856 0.000846255 1.000 0.000
    10 1 6 69.650 4.82473e-13 0.000 1.000
    best pat: 00 0.784873 - -
    best pat: 01 0.000846255 chi(nested): 20.412 p-value for nested model: 6.24515e-06

    coeffs: 0.675 0.325

    ## dscore:: f_4(Base, Fit, Rbase, right2)
    ## genstat:: f_4(Base, Fit, right1, right2)

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG -0.000306 -0.488565
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG 0.000229 0.320063
    dscore: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG f4: -0.000132 Z: -0.221248

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Onge_1000G -0.000616 -1.068608
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Onge_1000G 0.000281 0.433744
    dscore: Onge_1000G f4: -0.000325 Z: -0.594148

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Russia_MA1_HG.SG -0.001029 -1.356903
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Russia_MA1_HG.SG 0.002090 2.335904
    dscore: Russia_MA1_HG.SG f4: -0.000015 Z: -0.020790

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Chinese_Han_1000G -0.001319 -2.756043
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Chinese_Han_1000G 0.001087 1.983415
    dscore: Chinese_Han_1000G f4: -0.000538 Z: -1.181505

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Karitiana.DG -0.001515 -2.368054
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Karitiana.DG 0.002453 3.290047
    dscore: Karitiana.DG f4: -0.000225 Z: -0.364006

    details: Iran_C_HajjiFiruz Anatolia_N 0.000570 1.157302
    details: Kazakhstan_Sarmatian.SG Anatolia_N -0.002317 -4.105960
    dscore: Anatolia_N f4: -0.000368 Z: -0.780912

    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG -0.221
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Onge_1000G -0.594
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Russia_MA1_HG.SG -0.021
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Chinese_Han_1000G -1.182
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Karitiana.DG -0.364
    gendstat: Mbuti.DG Anatolia_N -0.781
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Onge_1000G -0.326
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Russia_MA1_HG.SG 0.154
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Chinese_Han_1000G -0.792
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Karitiana.DG -0.147
    gendstat: Russia_Ust_Ishim.DG Anatolia_N -0.431
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Russia_MA1_HG.SG 0.409
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Chinese_Han_1000G -0.514
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Karitiana.DG 0.180
    gendstat: Onge_1000G Anatolia_N -0.087
    gendstat: Russia_MA1_HG.SG Chinese_Han_1000G -0.785
    gendstat: Russia_MA1_HG.SG Karitiana.DG -0.294
    gendstat: Russia_MA1_HG.SG Anatolia_N -0.507
    gendstat: Chinese_Han_1000G Karitiana.DG 0.748
    gendstat: Chinese_Han_1000G Anatolia_N 0.421
    gendstat: Karitiana.DG Anatolia_N -0.266

    ## end of run



    So what the G25 shows is irrelevant. Haji-Firuz-IA is actually 67.5% Iran-Chl + 32.5% Central Asian Sarmatian related with a p-value of 0.78 (excellent p-value, model passing p-values used in scientific papers is 0.05)
    So Iranians are more steppe than anticipated.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Babak View Post
    So Iranians are more steppe than anticipated.
    Indeed if we use the Chalcolithic as a point of reference. Don't pay too much attention to informal methods such as G25 or Gedmatch calculators. They were not designed to measure how steppe Iranians are shifted compared to the Iran-Chl. Also Iranians are more E. Asian shifted compared to the Chalcolithic than what most people are led to believe. There has been lots of influx at various timescales since the Chalcolithic into the Iranian plateau from the north.

    This said Afghans and to a smaller extent some N. Pakistanis and Indians are obviously more steppe and E. Eurasian shifted than the average Iranian.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Babak View Post
    From which study is this sample and the PCA? If it is a real Achaemenid sample that's fantasting.

    But my point still stands. Some Iranic individuals picking Hurrian over Achaemenid simply means. these individuals might be a little more Hurrian shifted (as I would expect from Medes for example) and since you don't have a Median source population it picks up Hurrian as the next best. As we know Achaeamenids themselves were actually a Medo_Persian Dynasty some other samples might turn out different.

    I will try to explain this visually
    Look at this painting. Hope it explains what I mean.


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    Quote Originally Posted by Demhat View Post
    From which study is this sample and the PCA? If it is a real Achaemenid sample that's fantasting.

    But my point still stands. Some Iranic individuals picking Hurrian over Achaemenid simply means. these individuals might be a little more Hurrian shifted (as I would expect from Medes for example) and since you don't have a Median source population it picks up Hurrian as the next best. As we know Achaeamenids themselves were actually a Medo_Persian Dynasty some other samples might turn out different.

    I will try to explain this visually
    Look at this painting. Hope it explains what I mean.


    I got it from anthrgenica https://journals.plos.org/plosgeneti...n.1008385.g007

    But yea, i agree with your point. Haji firuz is a better fit tbh

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    Quote Originally Posted by Babak View Post
    I got it from anthrgenica https://journals.plos.org/plosgeneti...n.1008385.g007

    But yea, i agree with your point. Haji firuz is a better fit tbh
    Thank you it seems like we finally have a real Achaemenid sample. The sample is perfect. But as you might understand it's only one sample. With more samples a little variation will come in. If we get our hands on samples from Medes and the Old Persians from the Achaemenid Dynasty, we will see what I mean. We can't base our decisions solely on one sample. As you might have noticed even the ancient Bronze Age Hurrians overlap with the Achaemenid sample as much as around 90%. And Hurrian is a bad example for comparison since it predates Achaemenids and is rather a source than competing population.

    We need more Achaemenid and Median samples.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Demhat View Post
    Thank you it seems like we finally have a real Achaemenid sample. The sample is perfect. But as you might understand it's only one sample. With more samples a little variation will come in. If we get our hands on samples from Medes and the Old Persians from the Achaemenid Dynasty or during the Median Empire, we will see what I mean. We can't base our decisions solely on one sample. As you might have noticed even the ancient Bronze Age Hurrians overlap with the Achaemenid sample as much as around 90%. And Hurrian is a bad example for comparison since it predates Achaemenids and is rather a source than competing population.

    We need more Achaemenid and Median samples.
    It is not an Achaemenid sample, but a sample from outside West Asian from the Achamenid era. It has nothing to do with the Iranians. It has only something to do with the AGE of the sample.

    It is from this study: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6759149/


    According to this study, ancient proto-Aryan (West Iranian), so called ancient Central Iranian Cluster (CIC) that connects all Iranic people together is just native to Kurdistan.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Eline View Post
    It is not an Achaemenid sample, but a sample from outside West Asian from the Achamenid era. It has nothing to do with the Iranians. It has only something to do with the AGE of the sample.

    It is from this study: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6759149/


    According to this study, ancient proto-Aryan (West Iranian), so called ancient Central Iranian Cluster (CIC) that connects all Iranic people together is just native to Kurdistan.
    The majority of Iran’s ethnic groups comprise largely overlapping genetic autosomal diversity, implicating a shared and largely autochthonous ancestry, designated as the Central Iranian Cluster (CIC). Notably, the CIC also includes Iranian Arabs and Azeris (Fig 1) as well as the religious group of Zoroastrians (Fig 3), being consistent with the suggestion that Zoroastrians have lived in the area of present-day Iran for millennia and had formed an early group of Indo-European speakers.

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6759149/

    Kurds are much more homogenous (pure) than Persians. Kurds are clustered closely with other Western Iranians such as Gilaks, Mazanderanis and Lurs, while only one part of the Persians overlaps with the Kurds, while other part of the Persians is more shifted toward the Turkmen. Persians are much more diverse and a little bit more shifted toward the Turkmen (Turkic speaking people).
    Last edited by Eline; 04-20-2020 at 03:15 AM.

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