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Thread: Mega QAPDM Models thread

  1. #231
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    Quote Originally Posted by Grace O'Malley View Post
    First model didn't work but 2nd one did.





    I no doubt have real ancestry from Kilteasheen as my father has long term ancestry from close to where these genomes were buried and is R1b-M222. I just can't find the right model for them.

    On MyHeritage Ancient Origins I'm closest to Kilteasheen KIL001.

    My No 1 two way fit on Illustrative dna is below.



    My No 2 is with the Pict and No 3 with Kilteasheen.

    That's something you can do. You can try to replicate the two-way models you see on the Deep Ancestry section of IllustrativeDNA. With those references like I mentioned, you may have to remove some references or substitute a related group.

  2. #232
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    My best attempt so far, can’t seem to get those standard errors down

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ID:	143041 Norway Medieval is French

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    Today the individual must gradually reconstruct inside himself the civilized universe that is disappearing around him - Nicolas Gomez Davila

  3. #233
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    I did another Steppe/ANF/WHG model of myself. The goal here was to maximize p-value and tighten up the standard errors as much as possible.

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    References:

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  4. #234
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    Some of my recent random results using modern populations as a reference




  5. #235
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    I did a number of models with this IA British individual 6DT3. I looked up what studies have been done on him, and it appears that he has about 25% Iron Age Scandinavian ancestry:

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08275-2?utm

    "Twigstats substantially improves models of admixture between ancestries from Iron Age Britain and northern Europe in early medieval England9, halving standard errors from 9% with SNPs to 4% when using time stratification (point estimates 80% and 79% Iron Age Britain-related ancestry, respectively). We used this improved resolution to demonstrate that an earlier Roman individual (6DT3) dating to approximately second to fourth century ce from the purported gladiator or military cemetery at Driffield Terrace in York (Roman Eboracum), England60, who was previously identified as an ancestry outlier61,62, specifically carried approximately 25% EIA Scandinavian Peninsula-related ancestry (Fig. 2c). This documents that people with Scandinavian-related ancestry already were in Britain before the fifth century ce, after which there was a substantial influx associated with Anglo-Saxon migrations9. Although it is uncertain whether this individual was a gladiator or soldier, individuals and groups from northern Europe are indeed recorded in Roman sources both as soldiers and as enslaved gladiators63,64."



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    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0393% / 0.03932320 | R2P
    79.8 England_IA_Roman:6DT3__AD_200__Cov_73.36%
    20.2 Greece_Kastrouli_IA:I17962__BC_644__Cov_41.00%

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    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0455% / 0.04545825 | R2P
    89.0 England_IA_Roman:6DT3__AD_200__Cov_73.36%
    11.0 Egyptian_LateKingdomPeriod_JK2134_JK2911_avg

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    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0453% / 0.04526365
    83.2 England_IA_Roman:6DT3__AD_200__Cov_73.36%
    16.8 Italy_Imperial.SG

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ID:	143287

    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0482% / 0.04815272
    87.5 England_IA_Roman:6DT3__AD_200__Cov_73.36%
    12.5 Italy_Pompeii_Roman:f1R__AD_79__Cov_33.78%

  6. #236
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    Here are some more models:

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    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0407% / 0.04067256
    81.0 Wales_MIA_LIA
    19.0 Italy_Imperial.SG

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ID:	143424

    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0350% / 0.03498707
    64.9 Wales_MIA_LIA
    35.1 Italy_IA_Republic.SG

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ID:	143425

    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0353% / 0.03532272
    88.3 Ireland_EBA.SG
    11.7 Egyptian_LateKingdomPeriod_JK2134_JK2911_avg

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    Target: Gannicus_MergedFile_officialDavidski_scaled
    Distance: 0.0296% / 0.02958242
    82.8 Ireland_EBA.SG
    17.2 Greece_Koufonisi_Cycladic_EBA.SG

  7. #237
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    Comparison of me and Ukrainian.HO samples
    I am aware of the negative p-value, but this is meant to illustrate the difference in drifts. It is clearly visible how the Ukrainian sample is heading southeast while I am heading west. Unless I did something wrong? I would also like to finally improve my margins, as this problem only arises when modeling my kit.



    my recent models:







    GermanyEarlyMedieval.SG sample admixture model:

  8. #238
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    Has anyone tried modeling themselves yet as 100% of one source?

    I can model myself as 100% Iron Age Central Gaul from Yonne:

    Click image for larger version. 

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  9. #239
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    Models I've made using admixtools 2 (the faster but less accurate version of admixtools 1 that i usually use)
    Rights:
    Mbuti.DG,Russia_UstIshim_IUP.DG,Georgia_Dzudzuana_ UP.SG,Russia_Sidelkino_HG.SG,Israel_Natufian.AG,Ru ssia_MA1_UP.SG,Switzerland_Bichon_Epipaleolithic.S G,Russia_DevilsCave_N.SG
    lefts:
    Estonia_IA.SG,Ukrainian.HO,Kazakhstan_Sarmatian_Tu rk_IA.AG

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    --

  10. #240
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    Did another one population source model with France_HautsDeFrance_IA2.SG:

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