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Thread: Mega QAPDM Models thread

  1. #281
    Senior Member Xavier727's Avatar
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    interesting, that's quite surprising it's more Germanic than I would have thought, given your known ancestry. Why do you think that is?
    Today the individual must gradually reconstruct inside himself the civilized universe that is disappearing around him - Nicolas Gomez Davila

  2. #282
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    Quote Originally Posted by Xavier727 View Post
    interesting, that's quite surprising it's more Germanic than I would have thought, given your known ancestry. Why do you think that is?
    I feel like some of the Iron Age Germanic is soaking up some of the Celtic since both groups have similar proportions of Steppe/ANF/WHG. I've done models with Iron Age Gauls and it pukes when Iron Age Germanics are added. To me, that tells me that qpAdm sees the similar proportions of Steppe Pastoralist, Anatolian Farmer, and West European hunter-Gatherer and can't make up it's mind where its coming from: Celtic or Germanic.

    This one isn't too bad:

    Click image for larger version. 

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    standard errors are higher than I'd like which feeds into my thoughts about Celtic and Germanic groups having similar admixtures.


    Or I am wrong and I am more Germanic than Celtic. I wouldn't think so considering my known ancestry. On the whole average English are roughly 60/40 Celtic/Germanic. French are still mostly IA Gaulish and Scottish and Irish have picked up some Germanic but not as much as the English.

    AncestryDNA:

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    MyHeritage:

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ID:	144755

    23&Me:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_23-11-2025_172033_you.23andme.com.jpeg 
Views:	9 
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ID:	144756
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    Last edited by Gannicus; 11-23-2025 at 11:21 PM.

  3. #283
    Veteran Member drb234's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gannicus View Post
    you need a continental celtic pop for gallic ancestry (i used R2055.SG + NOR2B6.SG ). also I'd use Scotland_IA for insular celtic. definitely an overestimate


    These were the right pops i used for a personal iron age model on myself:
    Mbuti.DG, Czechia_IA_LaTene.AG, France_MN.AG, Germany_Tollense_BA.SG, Switzerland_EBA_1.AG, England_EIA.AG, France_Alsace_Lingolsheim_EBA.AG, France_N.AG, France_Occitanie_IA2.SG, Germany_BellBeaker.AG, Germany_Saxony_LBK_N.SG, Hungary_IA_LaTene.AG, Latvia_BA.AG, Sweden_IA.SG, England_IA.AG, England_MIA.AG, Sweden_IA_2.SG, Sweden_Viking.SG, Switzerland_LN.AG, Sweden_Mesolithic.SG, Norway_North_Pre_Viking.SG
    Last edited by drb234; 11-24-2025 at 12:54 AM.

  4. #284
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    Quote Originally Posted by drb234 View Post
    you need a continental celtic pop for gallic ancestry (i used R2055.SG + NOR2B6.SG ). also I'd use Scotland_IA for insular celtic. definitely an overestimate


    These were the right pops i used for a personal iron age model on myself:
    Mbuti.DG, Czechia_IA_LaTene.AG, France_MN.AG, Germany_Tollense_BA.SG, Switzerland_EBA_1.AG, England_EIA.AG, France_Alsace_Lingolsheim_EBA.AG, France_N.AG, France_Occitanie_IA2.SG, Germany_BellBeaker.AG, Germany_Saxony_LBK_N.SG, Hungary_IA_LaTene.AG, Latvia_BA.AG, Sweden_IA.SG, England_IA.AG, England_MIA.AG, Sweden_IA_2.SG, Sweden_Viking.SG, Switzerland_LN.AG, Sweden_Mesolithic.SG, Norway_North_Pre_Viking.SG
    It took quite a few attempts and basically, I had to use Scotland LIA instead of Scotland IA. This is my result with your references:

    Click image for larger version. 

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ID:	144763

  5. #285
    Veteran Member drb234's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gannicus View Post
    It took quite a few attempts and basically, I had to use Scotland LIA instead of Scotland IA. This is my result with your references:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_132829_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
Views:	10 
Size:	42.8 KB 
ID:	144762

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    germanic looks about right considering your ancestry but i think insular celtic is too low

  6. #286
    Senior Member Xavier727's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gannicus View Post
    I feel like some of the Iron Age Germanic is soaking up some of the Celtic since both groups have similar proportions of Steppe/ANF/WHG. I've done models with Iron Age Gauls and it pukes when Iron Age Germanics are added. To me, that tells me that qpAdm sees the similar proportions of Steppe Pastoralist, Anatolian Farmer, and West European hunter-Gatherer and can't make up it's mind where its coming from: Celtic or Germanic.

    This one isn't too bad:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_23-11-2025_164551_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
Views:	13 
Size:	35.6 KB 
ID:	144753

    standard errors are higher than I'd like which feeds into my thoughts about Celtic and Germanic groups having similar admixtures.


    Or I am wrong and I am more Germanic than Celtic. I wouldn't think so considering my known ancestry. On the whole average English are roughly 60/40 Celtic/Germanic. French are still mostly IA Gaulish and Scottish and Irish have picked up some Germanic but not as much as the English.

    AncestryDNA:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_23-11-2025_17842_www.ancestry.com.jpeg 
Views:	12 
Size:	78.4 KB 
ID:	144754

    MyHeritage:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_23-11-2025_171512_www.myheritage.com.jpeg 
Views:	7 
Size:	45.1 KB 
ID:	144755

    23&Me:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_23-11-2025_172033_you.23andme.com.jpeg 
Views:	9 
Size:	69.4 KB 
ID:	144756
    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_23-11-2025_172139_you.23andme.com.jpeg 
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Size:	80.3 KB 
ID:	144757


    Yeah, that makes sense. Celtic and Germanic both draw from very similar Steppe/ANF/WHG proportions, so it's likely that qpAdm might be struggling to cleanly separate them, unless you've got a really well chosen ref list. I would agree that broadly, the English average is probably somewhere around 30–50% Germanic, maybe slightly higher depending on region, so considering you have quite a sizable amount of English it’s possible for you to come out a bit more Germanic-shifted
    Today the individual must gradually reconstruct inside himself the civilized universe that is disappearing around him - Nicolas Gomez Davila

  7. #287
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    Quote Originally Posted by drb234 View Post
    germanic looks about right considering your ancestry but i think insular celtic is too low
    I'm still experimenting with your references. Using Scotland EIA bumps up the Insular.

    Click image for larger version. 

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  8. #288
    Member userNa's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gannicus View Post
    Right, it's not African at all. It's his attempt to measure Basal Eurasian that's using Mbuti as a proxy. Using his model with his source populations and reference populations it's speculated that I have 24% basal eurasian admixture. I thought it was interesting. So, I decided to share it.
    I just watched AndreiDNA's video (the one you posted). It's actually a very clever idea. My apologies for criticizing his method.

  9. #289
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    Here's a couple more:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_23920_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
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ID:	144768

    And this one is with French Bell Beakers. Different references though.

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_231412_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
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ID:	144770

  10. #290
    Veteran Member drb234's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gannicus View Post
    Here's a couple more:

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_23920_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
Views:	9 
Size:	42.5 KB 
ID:	144767

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_23107_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
Views:	6 
Size:	40.1 KB 
ID:	144768

    And this one is with French Bell Beakers. Different references though.

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_231412_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
Views:	3 
Size:	37.0 KB 
ID:	144769

    Click image for larger version. 

Name:	Screenshot_24-11-2025_231625_lab.illustrativedna.com.jpeg 
Views:	2 
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ID:	144770
    model with scotland_mia looks very solid

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